South Charleston, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

827
FXUS61 KRLX 051732
AFDRLX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
132 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

The forecast remains on track and is consistent with previous
packages. A Frost Advisory was issued for the growing season
area for tonight due to the are being susceptible to low
temperatures promoting frost development potential for tonight
into Monday morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Much cooler weather is expected through Tuesday night. The
growing season has potential for frost tonight and into Monday
morning, therefore a Frost Advisory was issued from 1AM tonight
to 10AM Monday.

2) A warming trend will take place starting midweek and extend
into the weekend as temperatures rise to above seasonable by
Thursday and continue to rise to anomalously high temperatures
toward the end of the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Much cooler weather takes place today into midweek where cold
air advection courtesy of northwesterly flow will cause
temperatures to fall below seasonable. Temperatures overnight
could fall to around 34 degrees, give or take, therefore the
potential for frost will be present overnight into Monday
morning. For this reason, and after collaboration with
neighboring offices, a Frost Advisory has been issued for
tonight starting at 1AM and continuing until 10AM Monday. The
public is advised to cover and protect their vegetation to
prevent damage to sensitive plants or from being killed if left
uncovered.

Over the next few nights another frost headline may be needed
for Monday night across much of the area and a possible Freeze
Warning for southeast Ohio may be needed as well. On Tuesday
night, temperatures will fall below freezing possibly and that
may warrant a freeze warning across the entire growing season
area as well.

The only parameter that is in question for tonight is the
surface wind flow may be elevated enough to deter some frost
formation and possibly freezing temperatures for the subsequent
days, however valleys will still have a threat of frost,
especially if they decouple amid clearing skies. This will have
to be looked at with fine detail. Have decided to play the
frost/freeze game one day at a time since thresholds are
borderline with elevated wind in the forecast.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A warming trend will follow these cooler days and cause
temperatures to climb to above seasonable by midweek. This
trend will continue into the weekend causing anomalously high
temperatures by the weekend to where mid 80s on Sunday is not
out of the question. Along with these warmer temperatures much
of the area will remain dry as zonal flow goes into effect
through midweek and then strong high pressure settles in for
the latter half of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

VFR conditions will dominate past the TAF period. Clouds
will generally clear out fairly well tonight with some decent
surface flow to work against any fog formation tonight. For
Monday, partly cloudy skies along with dry conditions and VFR
flight categories will be expected.

Expect a windy day today and tomorrow with occasional gusts out
of the west-northwest reaching 20 kts or slightly greater.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    M    M    M    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M

AFTER 18Z MONDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions expected at this time.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Monday for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-024>034-039-040-515-517-519-521-524-525.
OH...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Monday for OHZ066-067-
     075-076-083>087.
KY...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Monday for KYZ101>103-
     105.
VA...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Monday for VAZ003-004.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JZ
AVIATION...JZ