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U.S. Tornado, Severe Thunderstorm & Fire Wx Alerts

WW 266 SEVERE TSTM TX 232325Z - 240500Z
WW 0266 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 266
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South Texas

* Effective this Monday night from 625 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will pose a threat for large hail,
possibly approaching baseballs, through this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east of Cotulla
TX to 60 miles southeast of Laredo TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 263...WW 264...WW 265...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26020.

...Grams

  WW 265 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 232150Z - 240400Z
WW 0265 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
450 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern New Mexico
  Western Oklahoma Panhandle
  Western Texas Panhandle

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 450 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...At least a few transient supercells should develop near
the New Mexico-Texas Panhandle border area and may eventually
consolidate into a eastward-moving cluster later this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Clayton
NM to 50 miles southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 263...WW 264...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25030.

...Grams

  WW 0266 Status Updates
WW 0266 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 266

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..SPC..05/24/22

ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC131-247-283-311-479-505-240240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DUVAL                JIM HOGG            LA SALLE            
MCMULLEN             WEBB                ZAPATA              


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0265 Status Updates
WW 0265 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 265

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW CVS TO
30 NE CAO.

..SPC..05/24/22

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC009-041-240240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CURRY                ROOSEVELT           


OKC025-240240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON             


TXC017-069-079-111-117-189-205-219-279-303-341-359-369-375-381-
421-437-445-501-240240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAILEY               CASTRO              COCHRAN             
DALLAM               DEAF SMITH          HALE                
HARTLEY              HOCKLEY             LAMB                
  WW 0264 Status Updates
WW 0264 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 264

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW AGS TO
10 N GSP TO 10 NE AVL.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0887

..MOORE..05/23/22

ATTN...WFO...GSP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 264 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NCC045-149-161-240040-

NC 
.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLEVELAND            POLK                RUTHERFORD          


SCC021-047-059-083-087-240040-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEROKEE             GREENWOOD           LAURENS             
SPARTANBURG          UNION               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  WW 0263 Status Updates
WW 0263 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 263

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW SSI TO
25 NNW SAV TO 40 SSW OGB TO 10 NW OGB TO 30 N CAE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0889

..MOORE..05/23/22

ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 263 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

GAC029-051-103-179-191-240040-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRYAN                CHATHAM             EFFINGHAM           
LIBERTY              MCINTOSH            


SCC013-015-017-025-027-029-035-049-053-055-061-075-079-085-
240040-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT             BERKELEY            CALHOUN             
CHESTERFIELD         CLARENDON           COLLETON            
DORCHESTER           HAMPTON             JASPER              
KERSHAW              LEE                 ORANGEBURG          
RICHLAND             SUMTER              


AMZ352-354-240040-
  MD 0893 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266... FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
MD 0893 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0893
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0832 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022

Areas affected...Deep South Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 266...

Valid 240132Z - 240330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 266
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong, to occasionally severe, thunderstorms will linger
across deep south Texas. Large hail remains likely with the
strongest storms, along with some wind.

DISCUSSION...One very slow-moving supercell has progressed into
eastern Zapata County TX. Radar data suggests hail may be in excess
of 3-4 inches with this storm. It's reluctance to move east is
partly due to inhibition just downstream. 00z soundings from both
CRP and BRO exhibit substantial CINH between 850-700mb. Even ADN
exhibited capping at 700mb this evening, though wind profiles
strongly support supercells west of the border. It appears ongoing
activity should propagate at least into Jim Hogg County while more
isolated activity should be noted across the remainder of the watch,
especially western and northern portions.

..Darrow.. 05/24/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...

LAT...LON   26939960 28449987 28459822 26929797 26939960 

  SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Mon May 23 2022

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTH TX....

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms remain possible tonight across portions of the
southern High Plains as well as south Texas. Large hail, severe wind
gusts, and a tornado or two are possible.

...01Z Update...

...Carolinas...
As recently discussed in MCD #891, thunderstorms continue to develop
in the vicinity of the post-tropical low over the western Carolinas.
CAE VAD profile recently sampled 0-1 km SRH around 270 m2/s2 and 0-1
km vertical shear around 30 kt. However, this low-level kinematic
environment has recently been countered by increasing nocturnal
stabilization. This has reduced the tornado threat, with further
reduction anticipated as the surface low continues to move north
into a more stable air mass and diurnal cooling fosters growing
inhibition.

...TX Panhandle into the TX South Plains...
As mentioned in MCD #892, scattered supercells are gradually
shifting east along the TX/NM border early this evening. As the
low-level jet shifts east and increases to near 40kt, convection
will be encouraged to propagate toward western OK while
transitioning towards a more linear mode. Until then a few
supercells capable of all severe hazards are possible, as evidenced
by the southern-most supercell, north of Morton TX, which has
produced hail in excess of 2 inches along with at least one
potentially significant tornado.

...South TX...
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to continue for at least
the next several hours ahead of a shortwave trough moving through
the region. Abundant low-level moisture and steep mid-level lapse
rates support moderate to strong buoyancy and the potential for a
few storms capable of large hail and/or damaging wind gusts. Some
potential exists for the development of an organized convective
line, which would increase the risk for strong wind gusts.

...Central TX...
The cluster of storms moving through central TX will likely persist
for the next few hours, supported by moderate buoyancy and a
strengthening low-level jet. Hail is possible within any more robust
updrafts. This cluster is then expected to weaken as it moves into
more of northeast TX and becomes increasingly displaced from the
low-level jet. 

...Central Gulf Coast...
Additional thunderstorms are possible tonight into tomorrow morning
as warm-air advection increases ahead of the shortwave trough
currently moving through south TX. Storm severity should be
mitigated by weak vertical shear.

..Mosier.. 05/24/2022

 






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