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ALL SPC Mesoscale Analysis Curently in Effect
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WW 132 SEVERE TSTM TX 232045Z - 240300Z
WW 0132 Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 132
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Texas

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast to
develop this afternoon into the evening.  A few of the stronger
storms will probably evolve into supercells and pose a risk for
large to very large hail and severe gusts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 95 miles west northwest
of Abilene TX to 75 miles east northeast of Abilene TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Smith

  WW 0132 Status Updates
WW 0132 Status Image

STATUS REPORT ON WW 132

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S BGS TO
20 WNW ABI TO 5 WNW MWL.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0510

..WEINMAN..04/24/24

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 132 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

TXC059-083-353-399-417-429-441-240240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALLAHAN             COLEMAN             NOLAN               
RUNNELS              SHACKELFORD         STEPHENS            
TAYLOR               


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.

  MD 0510 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 132... FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL TEXAS
MD 0510 Image

Mesoscale Discussion 0510
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0842 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Areas affected...Portions of Northwest into Central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132...

Valid 240142Z - 240245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe gusts and isolated large hail remain possible for
the next hour or two in Northwest/Central Texas.

DISCUSSION...A locally upscale-grown cluster (with embedded
supercell structures) has evolved over Northwest TX this evening,
and will continue tracking southeastward during the next 1-2 hours.
Given the slightly larger cold pool that has developed on the
eastern periphery of a steep low-level lapse-rate plume, severe
gusts up to 65 mph are the main concern. Isolated large hail is also
possible in the deeper embedded cores. This storm cluster is moving
into increasing MLCINH owing to the onset of nocturnal
boundary-layer cooling, and the severe risk should generally weaken
with time. Convective trends are being monitored for a local spatial
extension of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132, though this is not
currently expected for reasons above.

..Weinman.. 04/24/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...

LAT...LON   31700038 32050049 32260036 32240004 32379983 32799953
            32789927 32689902 32579879 32389869 32099870 31779875
            31399925 31369979 31480011 31700038 

  SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and
gusts to 65 mph will be possible for a few more hours this evening
across across northwest Texas.

...TX...

Severe probabilities have been removed from southwest TX as storms
across that area have weakened and dissipated. The severe
probabilities over northwest TX have been trimmed (and removed from
southwest OK), and are mostly in line with Severe Thunderstorm Watch
132. A recently severe-warned cell near Fisher and Nolan Counties
will continue to develop southeast over the next couple hours,
posing a risk for large hail and strong gusts before dissipating as
the boundary layer stabilizes with loss of daytime heating.
Additional convection has been modestly deepening near the cold
front/dryline intersection in the vicinity of Garza County. This
activity may briefly become strong over the next 1-2 hours before
also weakening.

The Marginal (level 1 of 2) and Slight (level 2 of 5) risks have
been nudged southward a bit to account for storm motion.

...Great Lakes...

Severe probabilities have been removed given very weak instability
and a stabilizing boundary layer. A strong storm may persist in the
short term, producing locally gusty winds or small hail, before
weakening with time and eastward extent over the next hour or so.

..Leitman.. 04/24/2024

 






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