Middlebury, Vermont 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

468
FXUS61 KBTV 121933
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build to the north tomorrow, bringing cool and
dry weather. Showers will enter the region tomorrow night, but they
should get suppressed to the south for most of the weekend as the
high gradually builds a bit south. Temperatures will warm and the
humidity will increase next week, and some shower chances will
return.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 333 PM EDT Thursday...Drier air has infiltrated the region
behind a cold front and dew points are down into the 40s and 50s.
With advection and mixing to around 5,000 feet, the wildfire smoke
has been diminishing at the surface and that trend should continue
for the rest of the afternoon, though the air quality will likely
not completely recover. Winds will decrease this evening and the
boundary layer should be able to decouple in most places by late
tonight, but the winds in the early part of the night will inhibit
the radiational cooling a bit. Therefore, only thinking temperatures
will fall into the upper 30s in the usual cold spots of the
Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom, but if winds go calm earlier in
the night, temperatures may fall a few degrees farther. Patchy fog
in some of the protected valleys would be possible in that scenario
as well. Surface high pressure will build to our north tomorrow,
bringing a pleasant cool and dry day. A low will try to enter the
region tomorrow night into Saturday but the high will attempt to
block its arrival. Right now, it looks like most areas should see
some light rain Friday night before it gradually retreats to the
south later in the night and into Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 333 PM EDT Thursday...Dry air and surface high pressure will
push in from the north and northwest on Saturday, squeezing
precipitation chances south and southeast. We`ll have 30-50% chances
in central/southern Vermont and Essex County, New York, in the
morning, reducing to 10-30% chances in just southeastern Vermont by
the end of the day. Highest chances of precipitation should be well
south of our area, aligned with the stalling frontal boundary over
the mid-Atlantic region. Throughout the day Saturday, we`ll see
perhaps up to 0.20" of additional rain in the southern Greens.

Conditions will lean cloudier in theses southern zones, resulting in
temperatures only reaching the lower to mid 60s, while portions of
the forecast area along the international border and northern
Champlain Valley could have frequent breaks of sun and highs in the
upper 60s to lower 70s. Saturday night will also feature
precipitation chances 15-35%, highest in southern areas. Again,
skies will lean cloudy, especially south, resulting in seasonable
temperatures in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 333 PM EDT Thursday...Expecting the chance of showers and/or
thunderstorms each afternoon next week as rounds of shortwaves slide
through the region throughout the week. Sunday and Monday, the
greatest chance of precipitation will mainly be south of us, but a
few showers are still possible to likely. There remains a fair
amount of variability between model run to model run for mid and
late week. Southerly winds are anticipated to advect in warmer air
and heights expected to rise, allowing temperatures to increase each
day, from highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s Sunday to the lower
and mid 80s by Wednesday. Lows are forecast to be in the 50s and 60s
each night.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 18Z Friday...VFR conditions will mostly prevail for the
next 24 hours. The one exception may be SLK where there is a
low chance of fog formation late tonight. Winds will gust
between 15-25 KTs this afternoon out of the w and nw, before
going mostly calm or terrain driven by late tonight. They will
go back northwesterly tomorrow but they will be much lighter
than today.

Outlook...

Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Myskowski
NEAR TERM...Myskowski
SHORT TERM...Storm
LONG TERM...Storm
AVIATION...Myskowski