Gallatin, Tennessee 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

723
FXUS64 KOHX 231102
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
502 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 139 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Another cold night with temperatures generally ranging from 32 to
36F across the western half of the area and 40-45F across the
east. A thick layer of stratus clouds are hanging across roughly
the eastern half of our CWA and they don`t look to budge much
between now and sunrise, thus keeping temperatures a touch warmer
and limiting frost development. As we move into the afternoon
hours, warmer temperatures are expected today with highs in the
mid 50s and clearing skies. Tonight will be another cold one with
areas primarily south of I-40 near or at 32 degrees.

Our winds take a turn out of the south on Sunday, bringing an
infusion of warm, moist air into the area and sending
temperatures back into the 60-65F range for afternoon highs and
45-50F for overnight lows. Sunday itself looks pretty nice. Dry,
warm and breezy with occasional gusts near 20 mph with passing
clouds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 139 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Our weather pattern takes a turn for the unsettled as we move into
the Thanksgiving holiday week. A series of fronts will move across
middle TN through the week with the first one pushing through
Monday. This front looks pretty weak with current QPF values less
than a half-inch. There could be a rumble or two of thunder, but
thunderstorm potential is very low since there won`t be much
instability. The next front comes on Wednesday night, lasting
through Thanksgiving Day. This one has more umph to it and will
bring beneficial rainfall to our drought-stricken areas. Not only
will it be bringing rain, but also another much colder blast of
air will move in with it. With regards to thunderstorm potential,
looks very unlikely. Soundings show a totally moist profile with
little to no instability. It`s worth noting that current model
PWAT values (~1.10") are in the 90th percentile range for this
time of year, so a good, healthy rain is likely. Models are still
hinting at rain changing to snow late Thanksgiving night across
the upper Cumberland as temperatures fall. Rainfall forecast
amounts for this front currently range from 1-2". Rain looks to
move out in time for the weekend, but the cold air will linger.
Current forecast overnight lows next Friday and Saturday nights
are in the 20s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 453 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Satellite shows low and mid clouds across middle TN. MVFR to IFR
CIGS across the TAF sites.  Southwest middle TN has the highest
cloud levels. Expect the clouds to erode southwest to northeast
through the day becoming VFR around 16Z for CKV/BNA/MQY and around
18Z for CSV and SRB.

Winds won/t be as gusty today and will start out N/NW and swing
westerly during the day then more southerly by 24/12Z. Winds will
be 12kts or less this morning and then lowering to 5 kts or less
this afternoon.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      56  37  66  52 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    54  35  65  51 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     51  31  61  43 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       56  33  64  49 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     51  35  62  46 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      50  33  62  45 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   56  33  64  49 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   55  33  65  49 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        54  38  64  51 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....12