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Rosebud, South Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Rosebud SD
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Rosebud SD
Issued by: National Weather Service Rapid City, SD |
| Updated: 8:49 am CDT Jun 13, 2025 |
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Today
Areas Fog
then Partly
Sunny
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Tonight
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Saturday
Partly Sunny
then Mostly
Sunny and
Breezy
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Saturday
Night
Severe
T-Storms
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Sunday
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
|
Sunday
Night
Chance
T-storms
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Monday
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms and
Breezy
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Monday
Night
T-storms
Likely and
Breezy
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Tuesday
Chance
T-storms
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| Hi 80 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today
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Areas of fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind around 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. |
Tonight
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10pm and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Saturday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 4am. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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A slight chance of showers between 1pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. |
Monday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph becoming north after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. |
Wednesday
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 57. |
Juneteenth
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Sunny, with a high near 86. Breezy. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Rosebud SD.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
507
FXUS63 KUNR 131141
AFDUNR
Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
541 AM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
-Areas of fog early this morning, mainly on the SD Plains
-Unsettled into next week with near daily chances for showers and
storms, some possibly severe at times
-Seasonal temps most of the period
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 400 AM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
According to webcams and surface observations, fog has increased
across western SD. Visibility has dropped to under 1/4 mile along
the northern and eastern foothills of the Black Hills and
adjacent plains. Have issued a Dense Fog Advisory until 16z.
&&
.DISCUSSION...(Today Through Thursday)
Issued at 247 AM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
Upper air analysis shows near zonal flow across the northern Plains,
transitioning to WSW flow over the western CONUS ahead of a stalled
PAC coast trough. Southerly low level flow continues across the
Great Plains, which is advecting in warm/moist air into the region.
Webcams/surface obs shows fog developing across portions of the
western SD plains into the northern/eastern foothills of the Black
Hills. Fog will dissipate by mid morning today. A shortwave over
Idaho will be the next one to bring storms to the CWA today. Models
continue to show southeasterly low-level flow w/ a corridor of
enhanced Theta E stretching from SW SD through NE WY. Across this
area, MLCAPE of 1500-2000 J/kg and sufficient bulk shear will
support some supercell development in the late afternoon/early
evening hours. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
threats today, but can`t completely rule out a tornado with some
pockets of higher 0-1k shear where surface winds become more
easterly. Convection will move east across the Black Hills area
around sunset. Then storms will push into the western SD plains in
the evening along an axis of increasing Theta E advection. The
threat will become more wind-based across the SD plains. Another
shortwave will cross the upper level southwesterly flow on Saturday.
CAMs show storm development across northeast WY and the Black Hills
Sat afternoon, then pushing eastward across the western SD plains in
the evening, mainly south of I-90. Large hail and damaging winds are
again the main threats, then becoming more wind based east of the
Black Hills. Daily chances of strong/severe storms are expected
early next week, as little change to the overall pattern is
expected.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS Through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued At 538 AM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
Widespread IFR conditions will continue early this morning, with low
stratus. Fog is reducing VSBY to IFR/LIFR, especially across the
western SD plains and through portions of the Black Hills.
Conditions will improve to VFR between 15-18z. Thunderstorms will
develop across northeast WY after 21z this afternoon, then push
eastward into western SD around and after 00z.
&&
.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT this morning for SDZ012-013-
025-026-030-031-042>044-072>074-077.
WY...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT this morning for WYZ060.
&&
$$
UPDATE...13
DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...13
AVIATION...13
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