Cranberry, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

433
FXUS61 KBGM 030008
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
808 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front is pushing into the region, bringing some showers
and possibly a rumble of thunder this evening. Temperatures
will turn much warmer on Thursday, with highs reaching into the
70s, along with morning rain showers and possibly a thunderstorm.
Generally dry and seasonable weather returns on Friday, before
another slow moving frontal system arrives with periods of rain
expected this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Adjusted temperatures for evaporational cooling with the early
evening update across the region with the mixed precipitation
this afternoon. Precipitation has fallen mainly in the form of
rain and sleet but temperatures should continue to warm through
the evening hours. Still potential for some stronger wind gusts
tonight so the wind advisory continues.


An MCS continues to push eastward across western PA and western
NY. The anvil with this complex is producing some lightning and
very light rain out ahead of the convective line. Have added a
chance for thunder across the western Southern Tier and the
Finger Lakes region for this afternoon and evening. Cloud bases
are quite high due to the low level dry air in place and there
is some potential that portions of the western Southern Tier and
into the Finger Lakes region may see some dry lightning strikes
out of this anvil. Otherwise, looking at very light rain with
some cracks of thunder possible this afternoon and evening.

Also, out ahead of this approaching warm front tonight, a very
strong low level jet will punch into the region. Some of these
winds will mix down to the surface this evening through tonight
with the strongest gusts expected across the Finger Lakes
Region. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Steuben, Yates,
Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins, S. Cayuga, Onondaga and Madison
counties from 5 PM today through 6 AM early Thursday morning.

As precipitation pushes into northern areas of our CWA and into
the Catskills, there may be a few hours of wintry mix due to wet
bulbing, as dew points remain 10s to low 20s this afternoon and
evening. Very light snow accumulations will be possible before
temperatures warm above freezing later tonight with warm air
advection.

Temperatures will rise overnight as the strong mid level warm
front moves in from the west. Another short wave will come
across the area tomorrow morning and there should be enough
elevated instability for embedded thunder with showers through
the morning hours. After a round of showers in the morning,
things will dry out, but isolated to scattered showers may
still pop up in the afternoon as a cold front approaches later
in the day.

Skies look to remain mostly cloudy, but temperatures a few
breaks of sun and warm southerly flow will send temperatures
surging into the upper 60s and 70s across the Central NY and
Northeast PA regions. Surface dew points rise into the mid-50s
to lower 60s so it will even feel slightly humid out there.

Tomorrow night will also remain quite warm, with lows generally
in the 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
325 PM Update...

After the passage of a frontal boundary, a building high
pressure system off to the north will keep things seasonable on
Friday in the low to upper 50s. As the front exits the area
southward during the day Friday, lingering rain showers may
stick around for areas in NE PA and the Southern Tier until
Friday afternoon. The next system approaches from the southwest
Saturday. A warm front pushes through Saturday morning, bringing
moderate to heavy rainfall through the day. Current guidance
shows precipitable water values between 1 to 1.5 inches, with a
forecasted rainfall total between half an inch to up to an inch
of rainfall across the area. There will be a short lull with
intensity of rainfall as the main low center passes over the
area Saturday evening, but as the cold front associated with
this system sneaks up into the area, moderate rainfall intensity
continues heading into Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
325 PM Update...

The long term period is relatively wet and slightly colder than
normal. An overhead upper-level trough develops over the area
through the weekend and into early next week, with multiple
shortwaves bringing precipitation is likely. Temperatures take a
cooling trend going into early next week as well, and there may
be some mixed rain and snow showers mainly during the overnight
hours as temperatures dip, but could happen in the daytime hours
for the early work week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Rain has moved through with most of the area with SYR and RME
seeing some lingering precipitation for a few more hours. Cigs
and vis are expected to remain MVFR at worst for both terminals.
Tonight, low clouds move in as south winds strengthen. AVP will
see downslope flow so cigs were raised to more MVFR overnight.
BGM and ELM will see the low cigs move in at or just after 6Z
while downslope into ITH and SYR keeps cigs higher till closer
to morning. Some more light rain moves through with a low chance
at a rumble of thunder as the low level jet strengthens. Despite
strong surface winds, most terminals will see a long period of
LLWS with the low level jet in place.

Outlook...

Thursday night...Mainly VFR.

Friday...Mainly VFR expected.

Saturday through Monday...Periods of rain likely with
associated restriction.

Tuesday into Wednesday...Restrictions from snow showers possible
(Medium Confidence).

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for NYZ015>018-022-023-
     025-036-044.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK/MWG
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...AJG