Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

298
FXUS64 KOUN 222330
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
530 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 527 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

 - Dry with above/well above average temperatures through the
   week, including some near record or record highs.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

The stratus has dissipated and cleared the area with sunny skies
across the area. Low level temperatures have warmed and highs will
be warmer than yesterday and much warmer than average. Stratus
will again be possible early Tuesday morning, mainly across south
central and southeastern Oklahoma.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

The jet stream continues to be well north of the area with the
300 mb jet forecast to be as far north as Lake Winnipeg/Lake
Winnipegosis in Manitoba tomorrow. This will continue to keep the
cold air well north of the area. Although with this jet oriented
from Lake Winnipeg toward the Great Lakes, a surface high does
move into the upper Mississippi Valley and western Great Lakes
region, and with this a weak cold front will approach or possibly
move into northern Oklahoma on Tuesday. The airmass will not be
significantly cooler over the Plains, although there could be some
slightly cooler temperatures across the north if low clouds
develop near the front as the NAM has been suggesting for a couple
of days.

But overall, with the large ridge over the southern Plains, we
will remain very warm for late December. A very high 588 dm
contour on the 500 mb map is forecast to be across central or
northern Oklahoma on Tuesday... very much of an potential outlier
observation for late December. So it is no surprise that we could
see record breaking high temperatures on Tuesday. Warmer
temperatures are expected on Wednesday, although daily high
temperature records are unusually high for Wednesday so records
are unlikely to fall on Christmas Eve.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1145 PM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

The well above average temperatures will continue through the end of
the week with the upper ridge influencing the region for at least
part of this time. The warmest temperatures of the week for the
entire fa are expected on Christmas Day. Christmas morning is
expected to start with morning lows in the 50s to low 60s across the
entire fa. Temperatures will then warm into the mid 70s to mid 80s
Christmas afternoon. The current forecast highs and lows at all 3
climate sites (Oklahoma City, Lawton, and Wichita Falls) would tie
or break the record high and warm low for Christmas Day.

The forecast temperatures on Friday are expected to be at or few
degrees cooler compared to Thursday. However, they still continue to
be ~25 degrees F above average give or take a couple of degrees.

Models show the pattern might shift next weekend. However, there are
big differences in the pattern between the models so there is not
much confidence in this and what will occur. If the pattern shift
does occur, cooler temperatures, at least compared to what is
expected during the week, would be possible. There also might be a
low chance for some precipitation for parts of the fa. However, this
is highly uncertain and at this point a persistence forecast might
be better until have better agreement in the models and get closer
to next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Clear skies expected for the next six hours through midnight local
time wind southerly winds less than 10 knots. Between 06Z and 12Z,
stratus will build back north into southeast/south central
Oklahoma. DUA is likely to see ceilings drop toward 1,000 feet
with that stratus, and OKC/OUN may get MVFR/IFR ceilings around
daybreak as well. Also expect fog development to occur in spots
along and east of I-35 from PNC down to DUA early in the morning.
After noon, skies will clear out and winds will become
southwesterly.

Meister

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  52  73  58  75 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         43  74  51  75 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  54  79  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           37  70  43  78 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     44  70  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         60  77  61  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...04