Glenpool, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

717
FXUS64 KTSA 230456
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1056 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

 - Fog potential tonight and again tomorrow night.

 - The weather pattern favors much above normal warmth this week.
   There is a high chance of daily record high temperatures some
   days, and some chance for setting all-time December highs at
   some spots.

 - Gusty southerly winds are expected at times, but increasing low
   level moisture should limit the overall fire weather threat.

 - The next cold front is expected Saturday night, and will usher
   in much more typical temps for this time of year by Sunday. The
   front will also bring low chances for rain to portions of the
   area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

The low cloud forecast varies in the CAMs tonight into tomorrow,
with the NAMNest more widespread with low cloud development across
the region, and the HRRR on the lower side of the coverage
envelope. The NAMNest tends to be on the pessimistic side while
the HRRR can be underdone at times. There is agreement, however,
that at least patchy fog will develop to the north and west of
Tulsa toward daybreak, and in the terrain of SE OK and NW AR.
Will not issue any headlines at this time given uncertainties with
the coverage of denser fog, but will pass concerns to next shift.
Based on what happened earlier today, will lean toward the low
clouds scattering out during the day tomorrow, with temps headed
upward. Rising heights aloft as a ridge axis amplifies over the
Plains will set the stage for unusually warm weather. 500mb
heights may reach 590dam over north TX on Tuesday afternoon, which
is more typical of what you would see in July and August, not
December. The current forecast has record highs at Tulsa,
Fayetteville and Fort Smith.

Lacy

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

The ridge aloft remains in place into Christmas Eve, and will
gradually flatten out to close out the week. The forecast will
lean toward the warm CONSMOS as the low level thermal ridge
gradually expands eastward across the central and southern Plains.
Forecast highs will trend a little warmer each day through
Friday. There is a high chance more daily record highs will fall,
and some chance that some all-time December high records could
fall as well. A big pattern change is expected by the weekend,
with a deep trough expected to dig over the eastern CONUS. As a
result, a cold front is expected to slide across the region
Saturday night into Sunday. Highs on Sunday will be much cooler
and more typical of late December. Several scenarios in the
ensemble data indicate some potential for showers with the front,
so have expanded the slight chance PoPs from what the model blend
(NBM) had.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Scattered to broken MVFR ceilings are anticipated to spread across
much of the CWA tonight into Tuesday morning. Also overnight, patchy
areas of reduced visibility are forecast with the greater potential
near the Kansas border and within the terrain of northwest Arkansas.
Will continue with Tempo group at KBVO for fog late tonight into
Tuesday morning. During the day Tuesday, cloud cover is forecast to
scatter out again with high clouds Tuesday evening. There is
potential again for some MVFR ceilings to again redevelop over
northwest Arkansas toward the end of the TAF period. Winds through
the period remain southerly for most locations, while easterly winds
remain common tonight for KFSM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  75  59  77 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   54  76  61  78 /   0   0  10   0
MLC   59  78  61  78 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   46  73  53  77 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   53  73  60  75 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   52  73  59  76 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   54  77  61  77 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   52  73  59  77 /   0   0   0   0
F10   57  78  61  78 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   59  75  61  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...20