Bartlesville, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

129
FXUS64 KTSA 151525
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1025 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

 - Low daily chances of showers and thunderstorms through Tuesday
mainly confined to the higher terrain across far eastern Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas during the afternoon hours.

 - Afternoon heat index values increase to near or above 105 degrees
today through Tuesday for much of the area. Heat headlines will
likely be required for many locations each day.

 - Shower and storm chances expand across the entire forecast area
later next week as a weak cold front moves into the area.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1021 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

The going forecast in in good shape this morning. An expansion of
the Heat Advisory into the remainder of the forecast area or an
upgrade to An Excessive Heat Warning for portions of the area
remain possible but are not planned at this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Today)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

The heat will intensify today as an upper ridge settles over the
area. Afternoon high temperatures will reach the mid to upper 90s,
with heat index values ranging from 102 to 110. A heat advisory
remains in effect from noon until 8 pm for much of eastern Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas. Isolated afternoon convection remains
possible from far eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas, but most
places will remain dry.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

The upper ridge will remain over the area into early next week, with
hot and humid weather continuing through at least Tuesday.
Additional heat headlines will likely be required each day. Isolated
afternoon convection will also remain possible each day, mainly
across far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, but precipitation
coverage will remain low.

The upper ridge will retrograde to the west by the middle of next
week allowing a weak cold front to sag south into our area. Shower
and storm chances may increase some at that time, and expand in
coverage across the entire forecast area. Temperatures will also
likely cool a few degrees, but will remain close to the seasonal
averages.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Fri Aug 15 2025

VFR conditions will continue w/ near persistent conditions. Any
afternoon storms are expected to be isolated and chances at
terminals below mentionable values.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   98  78  98  78 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   99  77  99  77 /  10   0  10   0
MLC   97  76  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   98  73  98  72 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   96  73  95  72 /   0   0  10   0
BYV   97  74  97  72 /  10   0  10   0
MKO   98  76  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   98  75  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
F10   98  75  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   95  75  95  75 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-053>068-
     070>076.

AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...07