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Bartlesville, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Bartlesville OK
National Weather Service Forecast for: Bartlesville OK
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Updated: 9:50 pm CDT Apr 2, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Increasing
Clouds

Thursday

Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly between 10am and 1pm.  High near 61. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4am.  Cloudy, with a low around 48. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
Showers then
Slight Chance
T-storms
Friday

Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 59. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Showers

Friday
Night
Friday Night: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
Saturday

Saturday: Showers likely, mainly before 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 54. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers.  Low around 35. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Showers

Sunday

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. North wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Lo 47 °F Hi 61 °F Lo 48 °F Hi 59 °F Lo 47 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 35 °F Hi 55 °F Lo 33 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Tonight
 
Increasing clouds, with a low around 47. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly between 10am and 1pm. High near 61. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
 
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 48. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
 
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 59. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Friday Night
 
A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday
 
Showers likely, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 54. North wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
 
Showers. Low around 35. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. North wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 33. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 5 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Monday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Bartlesville OK.

Weather Forecast Discussion
390
FXUS64 KTSA 030237
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
937 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 937 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

  - Severe storm chances return late tonight into Thursday
    morning across SE OK and W-Central AR.

  - Rain chances continue through the weekend with heavy rain and flood
    potential increasing, especially across SE OK and W-Central
    AR.

  - Much cooler weather arrives this weekend, with rain possibly
    mixing with snow Sunday morning. A freeze is expected in some
    locations Sunday or Monday mornings.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 937 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Storms that lingered across southeast OK and northwest AR earlier
this afternoon have since shifted east of the forecast area,
resulting in mostly benign weather conditions early this evening.
The frontal boundary that pushed through much of area this
morning has stalled across portions of northwest AR, extending
just south of the Red River. The front should gradually lift back
northward as the night progresses, positioning near or just north
of the Red River by daybreak Thursday.

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and north
of this pseudo-stationary/warm frontal boundary well after
midnight tonight, closer to sunrise Thursday. A few thunderstorms
may become marginally severe. Elevated instability across far
southern/southeastern OK is expected to increase between 1000-1500
J/kg by or just after midnight. With sufficient bulk shear
already in place, large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the
primary hazards if the elevated thunderstorms can get organized.
Most of the severe threat will likely remain south of I-40 and
concentrated across Pushmataha, Choctaw, and southern portions of
Le Flore, Latimer, and Pittsburg counties.

Mejia

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 127 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

A deep upper level trough will remain to the west of the area
Thursday through Saturday, with continuous warm and moist advection
resulting in additional waves of showers and thunderstorms. This
activity will be ongoing Thursday morning, focusing across
southeast OK and west-central AR. Storms will then spread north
by the late morning or early afternoon. The severe threat will be
lower Thursday than today for several reasons. Perhaps most
importantly, the near surface boundary is expected to be south of
the forecast area, which would limit our access to the most
unstable air. Even so, a few embedded lines of strong to severe
storms may develop, with wind or hail being relatively more likely
threats. Shower and storm activity will then diminish Thursday
evening into Friday morning.

The next period of activity will arrive Friday morning as the low
level jet ramps up. By this time, the low level boundary will be
lifting to the north, perhaps as far north as a line from Tulsa
through Joplin. Areas near and south of this boundary will see a
dual severe and flood threat. In terms of severe potential, the
low level jet will result in significantly curved hodographs, with
significantly instability south of the boundary. The upper level
winds at and above 500 hPa will be near the 99th percentile for
this time of year, which will aid in storm ventilation. Based on
these factors, severe weather may develop. Precipitable water and
integrated vapor transport will remain near the climatological
max for this time of year, so widespread heavy rain is
anticipated. The heaviest rain is expected to focus across
southeast OK into west- central AR.

Portions of northeast OK may dry out Friday evening, but rain may
continue for southeast OK and northwest AR into Saturday when the
next upper level wave arrives. Once again, all areas will see
rain, but the heavier rainfall will focus across the southeast
portions of the forecast area. Rain finally winds down by Sunday
morning. Northeast OK will see a storm total of 2-4", with 4-6"
for the rest of the area. If localized banding of heavy rainfall
is persistent, locally up to 8" of rain could occur.
Unsurprisingly, the EPS EFI has values of 0.8 to 0.9 for Friday
and Saturday overlapping the axis of heaviest rainfall. This will
result in both river and flash flooding. Numerous rivers are
expected to see flooding, with localized moderate to major
flooding possible if any of these corridors of heaviest rain
intersect flood susceptible basins. Flash Flooding would be
expected for the same reasons. A Flood Watch was issued for the
highest confidence threat corridors, but may need to be expanded
later depending on forecast trends.

It`s worth noting that the air will be anomalously cool on the
backside of the trough. Some guidance even mixes or turns rain to
snow for a few locations north of I-40 Sunday morning. While no
impacts are expected, it nonetheless represents a dramatic swing
in sensible conditions. A minor frost or freeze may also occur
north of I-40 for typically cold locations Sunday or Monday
morning. The forecast looks to dry out through at least the first
half of next week, with primarily northwest flow aloft keeping
temperatures slow to warm through the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 643 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2025

VFR conditions will prevail into Thursday morning, with ceilings
lowering to MVFR from south to north during the day Thursday.
Areas of showers and a few thunderstorms will develop late
tonight, initially potentially affecting KMLC and KFSM, with a
spread to the north during the day Thursday. The greatest
coverage of precipitation will be at the southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  62  50  61 /  20  80  50 100
FSM   55  65  57  77 /  50  90  70 100
MLC   52  64  56  71 /  70  90  70 100
BVO   45  62  46  58 /  20  80  30 100
FYV   48  64  52  73 /  30  80  60 100
BYV   50  62  51  69 /  30  80  50 100
MKO   51  63  53  66 /  30  80  60 100
MIO   49  59  50  60 /  20  80  40 100
F10   50  62  52  62 /  40  90  60 100
HHW   55  66  60  74 /  80  90  90 100

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from late Thursday night through Sunday morning for
     OKZ049-053-063-068>076.

AR...Flood Watch from late Thursday night through Sunday morning for
     ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...05
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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