Ardmore, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

143
FXUS64 KOUN 050346
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1046 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1041 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

 - Gradual warming trend through the end of the week with triple
   digit heat indices.

-  Potential for milder temperatures and more rain chances later
   this weekend into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Dry conditions are in place under mostly sunny skies early this
afternoon as morning shower and storm activity has pushed well to
our south. Ridging is expected to expand over the area the remainder
of the day into tonight, which will inhibit additional shower and
thunderstorm activity. Highs this afternoon will reach the mid 80s
to low 90s with lows tonight dropping into the upper 60s to low 70s.

Ware

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

A warming trend is in store for the middle of the week as the upper
ridge builds in leading to hot and muggy conditions for much of the
area. Heat indices will push over 100 degrees on Tuesday and warm
further to 105+ degrees in some areas by Wednesday. A stout cap is
expected to inhibit thunderstorm development, with PoPs near 0%
during this period.

Ware

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Sun Aug 3 2025

During the long term, we will see increased temperatures across
the whole area as a mid-level ridge hangs out to the west. 850mb
temperatures will begin to increase as the low-level thermal ridge
strengthens. Southerly surface flow will continue to advect low-
level moisture into the area with a potential for dangerous heat
indices towards the end of the week. Any precipitation chances
will be contingent on the progression of the ridge and any
developing shortwaves. Northwesterly flow aloft can bring an
increased potential for overnight convection off the High Plains.
As of right now, the forecast remains dry, but some longer range
guidance suggests that the the ridge breaks down by the end next
weekend with the potential for cooler temperatures and additional
rain chances.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1041 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

High clouds from afternoon thunderstorms have spread across
parts of Oklahoma this evening. There is a low chance of high-
based showers/storms near WWR by 12Z Tuesday; otherwise, VFR
conditions will prevail with a southeast to south wind.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  91  72  96 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         69  96  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  71  96  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           67  94  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     67  91  71  95 /   0   0  10   0
Durant OK         70  94  72  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...06