Newark, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

380
FXUS61 KILN 110745
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
345 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure remains intact through the next few days, keeping the
forecast dry through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be near
normal to slightly above normal through early next week, with a more
humid airmass returning to the region by Friday. With this return to
a warmer and humid setup, a more active pattern is expected heading
into the weekend, with chances for on- and-off showers and storms
Friday through Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Clear skies and light winds should allow for some river valley FG to
develop in the several hour period around daybreak, particularly
along the OH Rvr and various waterways in the lower Scioto Valley and
N/NE KY. Elsewhere, some patchy fog may be possible right around
sunrise, but otherwise conditions will remain clear/quiet. Temps will
bottom out in the mid to upper 50s, although some lower 50s can be
expected in rural/sheltered locales.

Dry conditions will prevail through the near term period as sfc high
pressure slowly drifts to the SE through the OH/TN Vlys. Slightly
warmer conditions are on tap today than was the case Tuesday as SW
LL flow slowly becomes re-established. While there will be /some/
smoke aloft still drifting through the area, it is not expected to be
as pronounced as on Tuesday. There will also be some cirrus from
time-to-time, but abundant sunshine will prevail through the daytime.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
The sfc high pressure centered to our SE today will slowly drift away
from the region tonight through Thursday as NW flow aloft becomes
more zonal. Although mid/high level clouds will slowly increase
through the short term period, some sunshine is still expected
Thursday.

Temps tonight dip into the upper 50s and lower 60s before rebounding
into the mid to upper 80s Thursday afternoon amidst a mix of sun and
clouds.

Conditions should remain dry through the short term period, even as
a more humid airmass slowly moves back in from the SW. The main
focus for this weekend`s active weather will be the approach of a
compact cutoff low that will be in the ArkLaTex region Thursday
before it crawls to the NE into the lower/mid MS Rvr Vly by Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low chances of rain early Fri will gradually increase until Sat,
when they ramp up to 90% in the afternoon. Sun and Mon will both
exhibit a decrease in rain chances overnight and ramp up in the
latter part of the day with the higher 60-70% chance found in the
southeast for both days. Rain chances linger for the remainder of
the forecast.

Thursday night, an upper level low over OK will be cut off from the
mean westerly flow found to the north. This will have the low slowly
move towards the Ohio Valley as it weakens into an open trough. The
trough axis will cross the region sometime Sun, leaving a broad mean
trough over the Midwest and Ohio Valley through Mon. Westerly flow
to the north finally pushes its way into our CWA overnight Mon. With
significant lingering lower moisture found through the remainder of
the forecast, any upper level impulses or daytime heating will
initiate some shower activity, activity that should notably decrease
at night.

Surface features through the forecast time will be muted with two
exceptions. First being a warm front slowly lifting north through
Fri, second being a surface low tracking northeast, ultimately
crossing the CWA with the passage of the upper trough.

Temps in the mid-upper 80s start out as warm as they`ll be on Fri,
but only drop near 80/mid 80s from Sat through Mon. Slightly warmer
mid 80`s are proffered by guidance for Tue/Wed. Overnight, lows in
the mid-upper 60s will be the rule with the exception of some lower
60s found to the north on Sun night.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Mainly clear skies and calm winds will promote the development of
some BR and river valley FG through daybreak, leading to LIFR to
VLIFR VSBYs at KLUK and perhaps some brief VSBYs reductions due to BR
elsewhere, including at KCVG/KILN/KLCK. Conditions will return to
VFR area-wide by 13z, amidst mostly clear skies.

There will some patches of smoke aloft again today, but
concentrations and associated obscuration should be less pronounced
today than was the case Tuesday. There will also be some patches of
mid clouds filtering in from the NW as cirrus moves in from the SW
late in the daytime, but skies should nevertheless remain mostly
clear through the period.

Light SW winds this morning will increase to around 8-10kts this
afternoon before subsiding once again past 00z.

OUTLOOK...Storms will be possible Friday night through Sunday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...KC
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...Franks
AVIATION...KC