Grand Forks AFB, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles NNW Grand Forks Air Force Base ND
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles NNW Grand Forks Air Force Base ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Grand Forks, ND |
Updated: 8:16 pm CDT Jun 22, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Severe T-Storms then Mostly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny and Breezy
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Monday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Tuesday
 Mostly Sunny
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Tuesday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Wednesday
 Chance Showers
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Wednesday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance Showers
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Thursday
 Chance Showers
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Thursday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Lo 55 °F |
Hi 71 °F |
Lo 46 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 54 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 57 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. West wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. |
Monday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 46. West northwest wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. |
Tuesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind 5 to 8 mph. |
Wednesday
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A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Light northeast wind becoming east northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East northeast wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. East northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming south after midnight. |
Friday
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A 30 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. South southeast wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South southeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. West southwest wind around 8 mph. |
Saturday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 7 mph. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. West wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles NNW Grand Forks Air Force Base ND.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
056
FXUS63 KFGF 230131
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
831 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms through this
evening. Hazards include wind gusts to 70 mph, large hail up to
2.5 inches, and a few tornadoes.
- Heat index values approach or exceed 100 degrees in the southern
Red River Valley and portions of west central Minnesota through
7 PM. Heat related impacts are expected.
- Periodic chances for severe thunderstorms return late next week
into the weekend.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 815 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025
Severe storms capable of producing tornadoes continues until
around 10 PM for far northwestern MN north of Red Lakes to Lake
of the Woods.
Elsewhere within Minnesota, the cold front has yet to push
through. However, water vapor imagery strongly suggests
subsidence is limiting convective initiation along the cold
front. There is still a chance for additional thunderstorm
development, however the chance is low.
Behind the cold front, gusty northwest winds to 30 mph are
moving in, along with cooler temperatures.
Speaking of temperatures, very humid conditions near just ahead
of the cold front in west-central MN as noted by dew points in
the upper 70s. While the Heat Advisory has expired, hot and very
humid conditions will continue just ahead of the front, even
after sunset.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 415 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025
...Synopsis...
SW flow is in place still across the Northern Plains/upper
Midwest while a larger positively tilted trough over the upper
Rockies moves east. This flow is maintaining deep moisture and
instability in place, but as the trough moves east, along with
a stronger cold front, much lower Tds, milder air, and stable
conditions are expected early next week. Late next week there is
a shift in the pattern back to zonal flow (west with
southwesterly components), with rising heights again. This
brings higher temperatures and periodic severe chances once
again. Multiple machine learning systems highlight 5-10%
probabilities for severe potential for parts are much of our
region Friday into next weekend.
...Severe Thunderstorm Threat This Evening...
Prefrontal trough axis bisecting the Red River Valley and northwest
Minnesota southwest to northeast, with a cold front pushing
into Devils Lake Basin currently. Very buoyant air mass is in
place, with steep mid level lapse rates along/ahead of the
surface trough. Deep layer shear and favorable shear
profiles/hodographs support discrete supercells, in a low CIN
environment where a tornado watch is in place. All modes of
severe are favored through 7pm with a transition towards less
surface based convection as the cold front pushes east and much
more stable air works east. Eventually we decouple and the
entire pattern shifts out of our area later this evening (mainly
through 10pm in our east).
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 815 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025
Showers and thunderstorms may impact KBJI before 03Z.
LIFR to MVFR ceilings will be the main impact to TAF sites this
afternoon into evening. Low ceilings will start to lift between
09Z - 12Z. Northwest winds 10-25kt prevail through 09Z before
shifting out of the west with similar speed after 12Z.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...CJ
DISCUSSION...DJR
AVIATION...CJ
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