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Grafton, North Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Grafton ND
National Weather Service Forecast for: Grafton ND
Issued by: National Weather Service Grand Forks, ND
Updated: 12:01 am CDT Sep 21, 2024
 
Overnight

Overnight: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 57. South wind 7 to 9 mph becoming west southwest.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers

Saturday

Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a slight chance of showers between 8am and 9am.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 63. Breezy, with a northwest wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Breezy.
Chance
Showers then
Mostly Sunny
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Clear, with a low around 41. West northwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Clear

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. West wind around 6 mph becoming south in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Monday

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind 6 to 9 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Mostly Sunny

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. North northwest wind around 6 mph becoming west southwest after midnight.
Mostly Clear

Lo 57 °F Hi 63 °F Lo 41 °F Hi 66 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 70 °F Lo 48 °F Hi 70 °F Lo 48 °F

 

Overnight
 
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 57. South wind 7 to 9 mph becoming west southwest. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a slight chance of showers between 8am and 9am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 63. Breezy, with a northwest wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 41. West northwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 66. West wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. West wind around 6 mph becoming south in the evening.
Monday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind 6 to 9 mph.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 6 to 9 mph.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 48. North northwest wind around 6 mph becoming west southwest after midnight.
Wednesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
 
Clear, with a low around 50. South wind around 7 mph.
Thursday
 
Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. South wind around 8 mph.
Friday
 
Sunny, with a high near 75. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Grafton ND.

Weather Forecast Discussion
085
FXUS63 KFGF 210455
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1155 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- The probability for hazardous weather impacts is low.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Showers and thunderstorms developing a bit faster than expected
over west central MN with the warm air advection, so adjusted
POPs for that activity. Showers to the west with the main trough
seem on track, so little change there. Still expecting winds to
ramp up with the cold frontal passage.

UPDATE
Issued at 1024 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Showers remain sparse in the Devils Lake basin with a few
lightning strike now noted near Minot via NLDN. Still holding
onto the thought that things remain isolated with limited
impacts. Winds increase through the night with noticeable
increases by sunrise.

UPDATE
Issued at 626 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Shower activity has materialized between Minot and Devils Lake
with these expected to translate east in the coming hours thus
have added scattered shower mention through 02z with further
changes being made as seen fit based on trends. Minimal
accumulations expected with any passing rain but maybe enough to
settle dusty roads and fields should rain reach the ground.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...Synopsis...

As the surface high translates east overnight tonight, a
shortwave/cold front will begin to push through the area after
midnight. Showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, may cause
some minor impacts, however given very limited instability
impacts will be limited. Once showers exit as the front passes
through Saturday morning, winds will increase from the west.
Mixing potential is solid but winds aloft aren`t particularly
strong (850 winds around 40-50 knots at best), so wind advisory
potential appears fairly low at this time (20% chance). Having
said that, gusts to 40 mph can at least be expected tomorrow.

The remainder of the period will feature low probabilities for
hazardous weather as the upper flow pattern keeps the majority
of deeper moisture tagged to the Gulf. Heights based on
ensembles are pretty stable so expect at least some recovery
after cooler temperatures tomorrow but mostly seasonal
temperatures through at least Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

VFR Conditions through the period with chances for showers in
the DVL vicinity tonight. Thunderstorms in west central MN
should stay south and east of our airports. Winds predominately
southerly tonight turning W/NW tomorrow morning increasing to
15kts gusting 25-35kts between 15-23Z. Ceilings could drop as
low as 030 to 040 but confidence remains that MVFR will not be
reached.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...JR/TT
DISCUSSION...Perroux
AVIATION...JR/TT
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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