Deming, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

012
FXUS64 KEPZ 110447
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1047 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 -  Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms Wednesday favoring
    the high terrain.

 -  Low chance of thunderstorms Thursday through Friday, but
    mostly limited to Otero and Hudspeth Counties.

 -  Seasonable temperatures Wednesday, with heat building Friday
    through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1037 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Low pressure system that brought active weather on Tuesday will
mosey into central TX Wednesday. The Borderland will remain
somewhat ensnared by the low`s influence as its western periphery
remains on the edge of far west TX. With modest moisture still in
place, the lackluster forcing from the back end of the low will
lead to isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Gusty winds will be the primary hazard.

Shortwave ridging will take hold as the low ejects towards the MS
Valley and a massive Pacific high edges towards the west coast. The
rising pressure heights will see a warmup on Thursday, with the
lowland deserts and portions of the RGV reaching towards the
century mark once again. Meager moisture will remain in place,
which may give rise to a storm or two firing off the high terrain
of Otero and Hudspeth counties in the afternoon. The large high
begins to meander towards the Baja on Friday, allowing for
pressure heights to rise even further. This will set the stage for
a warming trend starting Friday and lasting through the weekend.
By Sunday the high reaches 597dam, centering squarely over the
Bootheel. While this will put a majority of the Borderland in a
regime of weak northerly flow aloft, oppressive heat will still be
on the menu-- the spice level of which is still somewhat
uncertain. On the mild side, Heat Advisories will likely be needed
at the very least. Should the NBM 75th have its way, a few
locales will be in spitting distance of Excessive Heat Warnings.

The high retrogrades back towards the Baja on Monday, offering some
relief to the heat. Afternoon highs will see a degree or two
reduction compared to Sunday`s readings. Pressure heights will fall
even more on Tuesday, with temperature reductions of 2F to 5F being
seen areawide.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1037 PM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025

A few lingering shwrs are migrating across portions of swrn NM
this evening. In addition, a few rogue outflow boundaries are
pushing wwd and may result in some light wind shifts early in the
TAF period. Activity will continue to diminish into the overnight
period, leading to light and VRB winds with SCT to BKN skies.
Isold to widely sct shwrs/tstms will return in the aftn. Brief and
lcl MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys will be possible with any direct hits to
terminals.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1030 AM MDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Meager moisture and weak disturbance will foster scattered to
widespread showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with gusty to
damaging winds the main concern. Given the large temperature-
dewpoint spread, leading min RH values in the teens and 20s, there
will be a modest dry lightning risk, primarily over the lowlands
as well. Winds outside of storms will be light. We will see
additional showers and thunderstorms again on Wednesday, but
lesser moisture and less upper-level support will reduce coverage.
By Thursday, lasting into early next week, we will enter a very
hot and dry pattern though model guidance disagrees on how dry it
will be come. Either way, winds will be light, but the "wetter"
guidance indicates a low risk for showers and thunderstorms on
Friday. Venting will range good to very good today and tomorrow
with very good to excellent the rest of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  68  97  73 102 /  30  10  20   0
Sierra Blanca            60  90  65  95 /  40  10  10  10
Las Cruces               62  94  65  99 /  20  10  20  10
Alamogordo               59  92  63  99 /  30  30  30  10
Cloudcroft               46  70  50  75 /  30  40  20  40
Truth or Consequences    64  94  68  98 /  20  40  30  10
Silver City              59  89  62  91 /  10  30  10  10
Deming                   63  98  65 102 /  10  20  20   0
Lordsburg                62  97  64  98 /   0  10  10   0
West El Paso Metro       69  95  73 101 /  20  10  20   0
Dell City                61  92  65  98 /  40  20  10  20
Fort Hancock             65  98  70 103 /  30  10  10  10
Loma Linda               61  88  67  95 /  30  10  20  10
Fabens                   65  97  70 103 /  30  10  10   0
Santa Teresa             64  94  68  99 /  20  10  20   0
White Sands HQ           68  94  72  99 /  30  10  30  10
Jornada Range            59  94  63  98 /  20  20  30  10
Hatch                    61  97  64 101 /  20  30  20  10
Columbus                 66  98  70 101 /  10  10  10   0
Orogrande                62  92  66  98 /  30  10  20  10
Mayhill                  50  79  53  86 /  30  50  20  50
Mescalero                50  81  53  86 /  20  40  20  30
Timberon                 49  78  52  83 /  30  40  20  30
Winston                  51  86  54  89 /  20  50  30  20
Hillsboro                59  92  62  97 /  10  40  20  20
Spaceport                59  93  62  97 /  20  30  30  10
Lake Roberts             55  90  56  93 /  20  40  20  20
Hurley                   59  93  62  95 /  10  20  10  10
Cliff                    59  97  61  99 /  10  20  10   0
Mule Creek               59  93  60  94 /  10  10  10   0
Faywood                  61  91  64  94 /  10  30  20  10
Animas                   62  97  66  99 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  61  97  65  99 /   0  10  10   0
Antelope Wells           63  97  65  99 /   0  10  10   0
Cloverdale               62  92  64  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...99