Chaparral, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

408
FXUS64 KEPZ 131715
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1015 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

 - Dry conditions this week with high pressure fixed along the
   Pacific coast. Temperatures a little above normal for mid-
   January with lowland highs in the low to mid sixties.

 - Weak cold front arrives on Wednesday, shifting winds to the
   east with minimal changes to temperature and breezy winds on
   the west slopes of area mountains.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

We will have little impactful weather over the next seven days as
our region will be between a large trough over the Great Lake`s
region and a blocking ridge pattern over the west coast of the
U.S. We will be between the these weather systems which will give
us a dry northwest flow aloft. We will be hard pressed to see much
in the way for clouds let alone precipitation through the weekend.
The northwest flow will allow for only a slow warming on
Wednesday. Then Wednesday afternoon, a weak back door cold front
will push across the region and swing our winds around to the
east, but little else. High temperatures on Thursday, will be
almost the same as we will see on Wednesday. For the end of the
week, the pattern will continue with our high temperatures
continuing to run 5 to 8 degrees above average. For the weekend,
the west coast upper level ridge will build a little in our
direction which will continue to keep us dry and warm for Saturday
and Sunday. No sign of any precipitation makers through the middle
of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

We will have VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Our ceilings
for this evening through the overnight hours will be unlimited. We
will have light winds from the west today and then light and
variable winds tonight. On Wednesday afternoon a weak back door
cold front will move across the region and give us some low end
breezy east winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

We won`t have any precipitation chances over the next week and we
will be hard pressed to see any clouds through weekend. Min RH`s
today through Friday will be near 20% in the lowlands and in the
30`s in area mountains. For the weekend we will be a little drier
with min RH`s in the mid to upper teens in the lowlands and in the
mid to upper 20`s in area mountains. The winds today and tonight
will be light, then on Wednesday a weak backdoor cold front will
push across the region which may give us a few hours of low end
breezy east winds. Then for the end of the week into the weekend
we will have a return of our light winds. Vent rates will range
from fair to good on Wednesday and from poor to fair on Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  35  64  36  63 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            33  59  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               31  60  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               29  61  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               26  41  24  43 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    33  60  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              32  58  31  59 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   31  62  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                28  61  31  62 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       36  63  38  62 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                25  62  27  65 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             31  65  32  67 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               35  57  35  57 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   31  64  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             30  62  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           37  62  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            27  61  29  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    30  63  29  65 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 32  62  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                30  61  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  29  51  28  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                28  54  26  55 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 27  51  25  53 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  26  54  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                34  59  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                30  61  28  61 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             28  58  27  60 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   29  59  29  60 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    28  65  27  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               29  62  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  34  58  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   30  61  29  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  28  59  29  61 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           29  60  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               36  57  36  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...15-Brice