Spring Creek, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

102
FXUS65 KLKN 131012
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
212 AM PST Sat Dec 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 206 AM PST Sat Dec 13 2025

* Unseasonably warm temperatures continue to threaten records
  across the area

* Fair weather and light winds are forecast through the weekend

* Next chance for precipitation centered around mid week next week


&&


.UPDATE...
Issued at 206 AM PST Sat Dec 13 2025

The current forecast is on track and no significant updates are
required.

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: The ridge of high pressure responsible
for unseasonably warm temperatures and many broken high
temperature records finally pushes through and eastward by early
Sunday AM. The region stays dry into Monday, however, even with a
shortwave across southern NV Sunday night. Moisture values over
the region do not increase until late Monday evening.

Under zonal flow across the western CONUS by Monday the gradient
will begin to tighten over the Great Basin as shortwave begins to
push into the area. This model run features a more pronounced and
developed wave with more associated vorticity than previous runs.
The shortwave will carry sufficient moisture into the region by
early Tuesday morning to promote precipitation chances along and
north of I-80.

The recent outbreak of warmer temperatures will result in more of
a rain maker than a snow producer for next week. Ensemble clusters
are only beginning to hone in on a solution that features zonal
flow over the western CONUS mid next week with the southerly
ridge having more influence over the area than its trough
counterpart. That being said a lower amount rainfall solution may
ultimately pan out. Lower elevation rainfall amounts are
currently tracking at 0.1-0.15 along and north of I-80 for both
Tuesday and Wednesday. Snowfall looks to be relegated to higher
elevations in northern Nevada, specifically the Jarbidge
Wilderness Area.

A more subtle wave will follow close behind the initial wave on
Thursday and Friday keeping precipitation in the forecast
potentially into next weekend. Long term outlooks dry the area out
by Sunday under zonal flow over the West.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence remains in warm
unseasonal temperatures through the weekend. Confidence is still
low however on precipitation chances, timing, and amounts for the
region associated with next weeks system.

&&


.AVIATION..VFR conditions will be present at all terminals
through the next 24 hours under persistent high pressure. No
precipitation is forecast at this time with light afternoon winds
present through the period.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92