Pahrump, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

611
FXUS65 KVEF 271742
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1042 AM PDT Fri Jun 27 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Temperatures will continue to increase a little each day through
  Monday. Above normal temperatures may continue into next week;
  however, temperature trends will depend on how much moisture moves
  into the area.

* Moisture will slowly push in from the east next week, resulting in
  increasing thunderstorm chances mainly for Mohave County.
&&

.DISCUSSION...through Thursday. Midnight satellite loop showed clear
skies areawide. Surface obs showed light winds and temperatures a
few degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. Dry conditions and the warming
trend will continue through Monday as high pressure slowly builds.
Long range ensembles continue to show the high settling into the
Four Corners area early next week. At the same time, a weak upper
level low will reach the West Coast, leaving our area sandwiched in
between with southerly flow. Numerous ensemble members show
increasing precipitable water Monday or Tuesday, with 10-30%
probability for over one inch PWAT in areas southeast of I-15 from
Wednesday onward. Showers and thunderstorms are possible beginning
around Tuesday; however, it`s too early to determine exact placement
(if at all) or impacts. Models remain in disagreement on the details
of exactly where the high and low will be, and thus how far west the
moisture will advect. There is still a noticeable slowing trend with
the arrival of moisture/onset of precipitation chances.
&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...In
general, winds will tend to follow typical diurnal (daily) directional
patterns through the TAF period. Wind direction may become
variable, ranging from ENE to SSW, as we head into the afternoon
and winds transition to the southeast. That said, expect the
average direction to be between 140-180. Wind speeds will
approach 10 knots, occasionally exceeding 10 knots for brief
periods of time. Winds will swing around to the southwest early
this evening, decreasing in speed after sunset. VFR conditions
will prevail through TAF period. Temperatures will exceed 100F
between 20Z and 03Z, peaking around 103F.


For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...VFR conditions will
prevail through the TAF period. Winds across the region will tend
to favor typical, diurnal (daily) directional trends. Most
locations will see wind speeds of 12 knots or less with gusts to
around 20 knots possible this afternoon. Wind gusts across the
western Mojave Desert will likely exceed 20 knots this evening as
winds swing back to the west.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Morgan
AVIATION...Stessman

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