Ely, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

807
FXUS65 KLKN 150747
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1247 AM PDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1247 AM PDT Sun Jun 15 2025

* Elevated fire weather conditions in parts of Northern and
  Central Nevada Monday

* Dry weather will persist today through at least Friday

* Temperatures will remain above seasonal values today through at
  least Friday

* Moderate heat risk in the valleys of Southern Elko and White
  Pine Counties Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Tonight through next Saturday)
Issued at 1247 AM PDT Sun Jun 15 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

An upper-level area of high pressure will be centered over the
Desert Southwest today and tonight. High temperatures throughout
Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon will be seven to nine
degrees above normal for this time of year. Here are probabilities
of maximum temperatures of 90 degrees or higher for locations in
Northern and Central Nevada on Sunday, June 15th, 2025:

West Wendover - 98%
Eureka - 95%
Tonopah - 95%
Montello - 90%
Winnemucca - 85%
Ely - 85%
Elko - 70%
Battle Mountain - 60%
Carlin - 60%
McGill - 55%

An Eastern Pacific trough of low pressure will make landfall over
Northern California Monday. This trough of low pressure will
progress eastward across Northern Nevada Monday night. Strong,
gusty southwest to west winds near 30 mph are expected Monday
afternoon into Monday evening in White Pine, Southern Eureka, and
Northern Nye Counties ahead of this trough of low pressure.
Atmospheric moisture associated with this trough of low pressure
will be very limited, so no precipitation is anticipated.

Zonal flow across NV on Tuesday with mostly sunny skies and highs
in the 80s. High pressure builds up from the south on Wednesday
with afternoon temperatures rising by another 5 to 8 degrees,
with upper 80s to mid 90s in most valley locations. An upper level
low off the British Columbia coastline begins to drift southward
on Thursday, with the flow aloft across Nevada becoming
southwesterly. A couple more degrees of warming Thursday afternoon
with highs generally in the mid to upper 90s which will be around
15 degrees above normal. Winds aloft increase on Thursday as the
Pac NW low approaches NV. Not expecting winds to reach advisory
levels on Thursday, however sustained winds of 10 to 20 mph and
gusts of 20 to 35 mph are looking more likely over much of the
region, with the highest winds across White Pine County. Friday
afternoon the jet associated with the approaching low begins to
move over Northern Nevada, while at the same time the surface
pressure gradient across Northern Nevada tightens. The NBM is
keeping wind gusts below advisory levels Friday and Saturday,
however the GFS deterministic run has low end advisory winds for
most of the CWA Friday afternoon and evening. Increasing
confidence with the low centering over NV Saturday, which if
verified will result in much cooler temperatures with afternoon
highs in the 70s for most locations.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

High forecast confidence in temperatures remaining above seasonal
values today through Friday. High forecast confidence in dry
weather persisting through at least Friday. Moderate forecast
confidence in much cooler temperatures next weekend. No deviations
from the NBM output.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions at all terminals today and tonight. Dry with
periods of SCT-BKN clouds at FL200, along with breezy W-SW winds
gusting to around 20kts this afternoon.

AMD NOT SKED at KTPH due to communications issue.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Maximum temperatures this afternoon will be seven to nine degrees
above seasonal values. Elevated fire weather conditions expected
in parts of Northern and Central Nevada from 11 AM PDT Monday
morning until 10 PM PDT Monday evening due to southwest to west
wind gusts near 30 mph and minimum relative humidity values as low
as 4 percent. Elevated fire weather conditions anticipated
throughout Northern and Central Nevada Thursday and Friday due to
strong, gusty winds and low relative humidity values.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87/96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...87