Battle Mountain, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

328
FXUS65 KLKN 100741
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1241 AM PDT Tue Jun 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1241 AM PDT Tue Jun 10 2025

 * 15-20% chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday
   afternoon and 25 to 30% across northern Elko and Humboldt
   Counties Wednesday afternoon with light precipitation amounts.

 * Above normal temperatures in the upper 80s and 90s.

 * Areas of Moderate HeatRisk Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1241 AM PDT Tue Jun 10 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

A thermal trough extending northward from the Desert Southwest
will help initiate scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
once again this afternoon and evening, with most hi-res CAMS
increasing convective coverage further north across the I-80
corridor to the state line as moisture finally propagates further
northward from central Nevada, where it has been the past couple
of days. With mean CAPE values of 300-500 J/kg, expect brief heavy
downpours with gusty and erratic winds. Thunderstorms are expected
to remain on the dry side with the probability for a tenth of an
inch or more of rainfall still quite low at 15% or less across
Elko and Humboldt Counties

Areas of Moderate/Orange HeatRisk values once again today as
above normal temperatures continue with highs in the upper 80s and
lower 90s. Those sensitive to the heat should avoid strenuous
outdoor activities during the afternoon and everyone should stay
hydrated. Use appropriate sun protection and take breaks as
needed.

A shortwave trough and cold front will make their way across
northern Nevada Wednesday afternoon with a 30% chance for
thunderstorms across far northern Humboldt and Elko Counties,
otherwise the warm conditions continue. These chances have
increased slightly from yesterday as we move into the hi-res
forecast window.

Little change into the extended period with long-range ensemble
cluster scenarios all still in support of upper-level troughing
moving closer to the Pacific Northwest Coast, with southwest flow
aloft across the Great Basin and dry conditions with precipitable
water values dropping below normal. Winds will also be on the
increase as the center of the high pushes off to the east and
southwest flow aloft develops. Wind gusts increase to 25 to 30 mph
each afternoon Wednesday through Sunday. Slight increase in
precipitation chances as the ridge breaks down into next week and
the trough slides across the northwestern U.S.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

Low confidence in timing and coverage in showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon and Wednesday afternoon. High confidence in above
normal temperatures and HeatRisk. Moderate to high confidence in
dry conditions from Thursday into this weekend with high pressure
in control. Into early next week, some long-range ensemble
clusters maintain a stronger trough as it rides northward around
the ridge across the southwestern U.S., which would bring a slight
increase in chances for light precipitation to far northern
Nevada. Confidence is still very low in any appreciable rainfall
with less than 20% of long range members in this cluster. A dry
forecast through the next week, overall.

&&


.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions prevail at all terminals through Tuesday evening.
High based thunderstorm activity at all terminals except for KTPH
is forecast beginning midday on Tuesday and lasting through the
early evening. Gusty and erratic winds in and around thunderstorms
is possible. Afternoon diurnal gusty winds are also expected at
all terminals out of the west-southwest ranging 20-25KTs. Gusty
winds will diminish after sunset Tuesday evening.

&&


.FIRE WEATHER...

A mix of wet and dry thunderstorms are expected in most of
Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening. A
few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The primary
thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 45 mph and dangerous
cloud to ground lightning strikes. Scattered, dry thunderstorms
are anticipated in Northern Elko County Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday evening. A few of these thunderstorms could be strong to
severe. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near
55 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. Dry and
tranquil weather will prevail Thursday through next Tuesday.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...84
AVIATION...99
FIRE WEATHER...87