Papillion, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

390
FXUS63 KOAX 232330
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
530 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of fog late tonight into Christmas Eve morning, and
  again Christmas Eve night into Christmas Day. Travel could be
  impacted by the low visibilities and potential slick spots on
  untreated bridges.

- Unseasonably warm through Saturday with record or near-record
  high temperatures possible.

- Dry weather continues through the forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 248 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Tonight through Thursday (Christmas Day):

Latest surface analysis reveals a front stalled from south-
central KS into central MO with a warmer and considerably more
moist air mass residing to the south of that feature. That
moisture is contributing to widespread low clouds and areas of
fog as of early afternoon. The boundary is forecast to weaken
while lifting north with low clouds and areas of fog developing
into our area late tonight into Christmas Eve morning. Some
drizzle is also possible, especially along and south of I-80.
The good news is that temperatures are expected to remain above
freezing, so we don`t anticipate any ice accumulation.

The low clouds and fog are likely to linger through the
morning, impacting afternoon temperatures, particularly in far
eastern NE and western IA where highs in the upper 40s to low
50s are forecast. We could see more sunshine elsewhere,
allowing temperatures to warm into the mid to upper 50s. The
record high temperature of 58 at Norfolk could be within reach.

A weak front is forecast to slowly settle south through the
area Christmas Eve night before stalling across northern KS and
northwest MO Christmas Day. Light winds in the vicinity of the
front will favor the development of widespread fog and low-
clouds, which will linger into Christmas Day. Some drizzle
appears possible, but again, the best potential will exist at
locations that remain above freezing.

Reduced visibilities due to the fog could impact travel this
holiday period, as could slick spots developing on untreated
bridges.


Friday and Saturday:

The primary feature of interest this period is a short-wave
trough, which is forecast to amplify over the north-central
U.S. Saturday into Saturday night. At the surface, a strong cold
front will sweep through the region late Saturday afternoon and
evening. Temperatures are expected to warm slightly ahead of the
front with highs in the 50s and 60s both days. This forecast
update will indicate high temperatures at or within a degree of
the records at Lincoln (64/26th and 62/27th).


Sunday and Monday:

A considerably cooler air mass will filter into the region
behind the front with highs in the 20s and 30s forecast both
days. Measurable precipitation chances appear minimal through
the duration of forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 515 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Winds will remain light, and eventually become southerly
overnight. A region of warm moist air, currently residing over
East Central Kansas and into Missouri, will drift north
overnight, with low clouds and fog potentially overspreading
Central Nebraska and parts of southwest Iowa. MVFR to IFR
visibilities will be possible by around 12Z Wednesday morning,
before lifting to VFR near 18Z Wednesday afternoon. There
remains a low (10-15% chance for light drizzle to creep across
southeast NE, potentially reaching KLNK between 12-15Z. Luckily
temperatures should be a few degrees above freezing, preventing
any ice accumulation.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mead
AVIATION...KG