|
Tupelo, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS
Issued by: National Weather Service Memphis, TN |
| Updated: 12:45 am CDT Jun 12, 2025 |
|
Overnight
Mostly Cloudy
|
Thursday
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
|
Thursday
Night
T-storms
Likely then
Chance
Showers
|
Friday
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
|
Friday
Night
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Showers then
T-storms
|
Saturday
Night
Showers
Likely
|
Sunday
Showers
Likely
|
Sunday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
| Lo 69 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
|
Overnight
|
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Calm wind. |
Thursday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday Night
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 1pm and 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 88. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
|
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 7pm. Low around 70. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
|
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 85. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Sunday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Monday
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Monday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Tuesday
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Tuesday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. |
Wednesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 2 Miles ESE Tupelo MS.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
686
FXUS64 KMEG 120408
AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1108 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1107 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025
- Showers and thunderstorms will return tomorrow. A few storms
could be strong to severe late afternoon through late evening
along and west of the Mississippi River.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Friday through
this weekend. At this time, the chances for severe thunderstorms
remains low.
- Hot and humid conditions will develop next week, with isolated
to scattered daytime showers and thunderstorms continuing. Heat
indices will approach 100 degrees by midweek.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025
A warm and rather comfortable day across the Mid-South at this
hour. Temperatures range from the mid to upper 80s with relative
humidity comfortably in 30 to 45 percent range. Residual Canadian
wildfire smoke continues to lift north across the region, as seen
from GOES east satellite. Aloft, shortwave upper level ridging is
present over the region, downstream of an upper low pressure
system over central Texas.
The aforementioned upper low will slowly lift northeast through
Saturday. A shortwave will eject into the Lower Mississippi Valley
late tomorrow afternoon and spawn showers and thunderstorms across
the region. Simultaneously, a warm front will lift north across
the region and increase PWATs to near 2 inches, or the 99th
percentile for this time of year. The combination of rich
moisture and 20 to 25 knots of bulk shear will support the threat
of strong to severe thunderstorms by late tomorrow afternoon. Hi-
res models continue to pick up on an MCS overnight near the
ArkLaMiss. The evolution of this system could enhance severe
thunderstorm development late tomorrow afternoon, particularly in
the form of an MCV. This would increase low level spin (helicity)
and support the current 2% tornado risk in place. The current
parameter space supports a Marginal Risk (1/5), but could increase
to a Slight Risk (2/5) as hi-res models continue to resolve the
genesis of an MCV. General timing is from late afternoon through
about midnight tomorrow night.
The upper level low will continue to eject small perturbations
Friday through Saturday, with bouts of scattered to numerous
storms each day. It`s hard to say how strong storms will be each
day in this pattern, but if sufficient destabilization is able to
occur between each little wave, the threat of a couple of strong
to severe storms remains plausible. Temperatures will remain near
normal with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the lower
70s.
The upper level pattern will become more diffuse late in the
weekend through early next week as the upper low lifts out of the
region. Weak mid level flow will keep a low chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast through the middle of next week. The
main story will be increasing temperatures and heat indices
approaching the 100 degree mark by midweek.
AC3
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025
VFR through at least mid afternoon tomorrow. An upper level low
will bring showers and thunderstorms back to the Midsouth late
tomorrow continuing through the end of the TAF cycle. Exact
timing is uncertain, but storms will likely follow a diurnally
enhanced cycle, thus storms are most likely during the late
afternoon/evening hours.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 310 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025
Humidity will markedly increase tomorrow as a warm front lifts
north across the entire area. Dewpoints will climb into the 70s
and yield relative humidity values in the 50 to 70 percent range.
Widespread wetting rainfall will occur late tomorrow afternoon
through late evening as a band of strong to severe thunderstorms
moves across the region. Showers and thunderstorms will continue
each day through next week.
AC3
&&
.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...JDS
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
