Hernando, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

282
FXUS64 KMEG 160532
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1232 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

- A Wind Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Monday morning for wind
  gusts of 35 to 45 mph.

- Freeze Warnings and Watches are in effect for the Mid-South
  Monday and Tuesday mornings.

- A return of much warmer temperatures is expected late this week
  into the start of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Latest surface analysis places a cold front from Middle Tennessee
back through northwest Alabama and back through central and
southern Mississippi. A few post-frontal rain showers are located
mostly east of the Mississippi River. Temperatures as of 11 PM
range from the lower to middle 40s west of the Mississippi River,
and 50s to lower 60s across the remainder of the Mid-South.
Confidence remains high for mainly dry weather throughout the
week, very cold temperatures for early this week, followed by
well above normal temperatures for late week into the start of
next weekend.

Short-term CAMs indicate a low potential (<20% chance) of a snow
shower over portions of West Tennessee near the Tennessee River
and northeast Mississippi late tonight towards sunrise Monday. No
accumulations or impacts are expected with this precipitation.
The tight pressure gradient associated with this strong cold
front will continue to produce sustained winds 20-25 mph with
gusts up to 45 mph into the overnight hours. The Wind Advisory
will remain in effect through 7 AM CDT, at which time winds are
expected to subside below advisory criteria.

A 1030 mb surface high will build into the Middle and Lower
Mississippi Valleys into Tuesday. A much colder airmass will
build into the Mid-South over the next 36 hours. A Freeze Warning
remains in effect for most of the Mid-South overnight into early
Monday morning and the entire Mid-South Monday night as
temperatures fall into the 20s nearly areawide. Temperatures on
Monday and Tuesday will only recover to the 40s. Temperatures
late Tuesday night will fall at or below freezing and additional
Freeze Headlines are likely.

A warming trend will begin by the middle of this week as upper-
level heights build across the Lower Mississippi Valley. This
will result in temperatures rising back well above normal into
the 70s late this week with lower to middle 80s anticipated by
next Saturday. A cold front will bring cooler temperatures back
to the area late next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Confidence is high that post frontal clouds will produce MVFR
conditions at TAF sites overnight into Monday morning with VFR
conditions returning by Monday afternoon as a ridge of high
pressure builds into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Winds are
expected to gradually diminish Monday afternoon and become light
by Monday evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Fire weather concerns will remain low for the next couple of days
due to Sunday evening`s widespread wetting rain. Much colder
temperatures are expected through Tuesday followed by a return of
well above normal temperatures late this week. Minimum relative
humidity values will drop to 25-30 percent by Tuesday.

&&


.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for ARZ009-018-026>028-
     035-036-048-049-058.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058.

MO...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for MOZ113-115.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for MOZ113-115.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     MOZ113-115.

MS...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for MSZ001>017-020>024.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for MSZ001>015-020>022.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     MSZ001>017-020>024.

TN...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for TNZ001>004-019>022-
     048>055-088>092.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092.

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC
AVIATION...CJC