Flowood, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

328
FXUS64 KJAN 112041 CCA
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
334 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Through Thursday night: As previously mentioned, a significant
upper level pattern change is underway with subtropical ridging
expected to be more prominent. The weaker upper level winds and
steering flow will allow a cut-off low to our west to meader
slowly for a few days and gradually approach the lower/mid MS
Valley. This will keep our area in persistent moist south to
southwesterly flow, which will support keeping relatively high
rain chances through most of the forecast.

In the near term, the convective outflow boundary and associated
showers/storms will approach southwest portions of the forecast area
this evening...potentially bringing some gusty winds to northeast LA
and southwest MS, then the convective intensity should wane during
the early evening as storms attempt to move across the MS River. For
Thursday, the parameters driving today`s convection will be farther
east and more squarely over our area resulting in a marginal risk
for getting severe wind gusts, especially during the late afternoon
to early evening. Low level flow We have issued a grapicast that
corresponds with SPC`s day two outlook for a marginal risk, and some
adjustments to the area may be required. With boundary interactions
and decent low level flow by June standards, the development of a
weak brief tornado can`t be ruled out. /EC/

Friday through Tuesday night:

The main message for the end of this week into early next week is
hot and humid with summery chances for mainly afternoon/evening
showers and thunderstorms. In one word - "June."

Temperatures should be seasonable - highs around 90 and lows in
the lower 70s. The upper-level weather pattern will feature
troughing generally over our region, as a weakness persists
beneath ridge centers over the Desert Southwest and off the
Southeast U.S. coastline through the 7-day time frame. Southerly
low-level flow around the Bermuda High will keep humidity levels
around 70% through afternoon hours, and drippy overnight. A closed
low lifting from the Southern High Plains toward Missouri by
Saturday will be the instigating feature for anything more
organized as far as thunderstorm potential over the next few days.
But the combination of heat and humidity and flow in the region
will generally support 60-70% rain chances across the forecast
area each afternoon.

With the humidity arriving from the south, falling from above, and
simmering out of the ground, 100+ heat index values should become
increasingly common this weekend into early next week. Limited to
Elevated heat stress graphics may be needed over the next few days,
but it`s always worth keeping in mind that summer in the South is a
time to stay hydrated, wear comfortable and cool clothing, and check
on family and neighbors who may need cool places to stay during hot
afternoons and muggy nights. /NF/EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

SHRA/TSRA will redevelop in the aftn to evening hours, with
potential earliest onset around 20Z, along and south of I-20. Sfc
winds should remain light and variable, some southeasterly,
generally sustained and gusts under 10mph. Patchy BR and MVFR to
LIFR low stratus will be a concern again overnight in the I-59 to
Hwy 84 corridors, with onset around 12/08-11Z Thursday./OAJ/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       72  91  73  90 /  20  60  50  60
Meridian      70  91  71  90 /  10  50  40  60
Vicksburg     72  91  73  91 /  30  60  50  50
Hattiesburg   73  92  74  91 /  10  60  50  70
Natchez       72  89  73  90 /  30  60  50  60
Greenville    72  89  73  88 /  20  60  60  60
Greenwood     72  91  73  90 /  10  60  50  60

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

EC/