Corinth, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

686
FXUS64 KMEG 120408
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1108 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1107 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

- Showers and thunderstorms will return tomorrow. A few storms
  could be strong to severe late afternoon through late evening
  along and west of the Mississippi River.

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue Friday through
  this weekend. At this time, the chances for severe thunderstorms
  remains low.

- Hot and humid conditions will develop next week, with isolated
  to scattered daytime showers and thunderstorms continuing. Heat
  indices will approach 100 degrees by midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A warm and rather comfortable day across the Mid-South at this
hour. Temperatures range from the mid to upper 80s with relative
humidity comfortably in 30 to 45 percent range. Residual Canadian
wildfire smoke continues to lift north across the region, as seen
from GOES east satellite. Aloft, shortwave upper level ridging is
present over the region, downstream of an upper low pressure
system over central Texas.

The aforementioned upper low will slowly lift northeast through
Saturday. A shortwave will eject into the Lower Mississippi Valley
late tomorrow afternoon and spawn showers and thunderstorms across
the region. Simultaneously, a warm front will lift north across
the region and increase PWATs to near 2 inches, or the 99th
percentile for this time of year. The combination of rich
moisture and 20 to 25 knots of bulk shear will support the threat
of strong to severe thunderstorms by late tomorrow afternoon. Hi-
res models continue to pick up on an MCS overnight near the
ArkLaMiss. The evolution of this system could enhance severe
thunderstorm development late tomorrow afternoon, particularly in
the form of an MCV. This would increase low level spin (helicity)
and support the current 2% tornado risk in place. The current
parameter space supports a Marginal Risk (1/5), but could increase
to a Slight Risk (2/5) as hi-res models continue to resolve the
genesis of an MCV. General timing is from late afternoon through
about midnight tomorrow night.

The upper level low will continue to eject small perturbations
Friday through Saturday, with bouts of scattered to numerous
storms each day. It`s hard to say how strong storms will be each
day in this pattern, but if sufficient destabilization is able to
occur between each little wave, the threat of a couple of strong
to severe storms remains plausible. Temperatures will remain near
normal with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the lower
70s.

The upper level pattern will become more diffuse late in the
weekend through early next week as the upper low lifts out of the
region. Weak mid level flow will keep a low chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast through the middle of next week. The
main story will be increasing temperatures and heat indices
approaching the 100 degree mark by midweek.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1107 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

VFR through at least mid afternoon tomorrow. An upper level low
will bring showers and thunderstorms back to the Midsouth late
tomorrow continuing through the end of the TAF cycle. Exact
timing is uncertain, but storms will likely follow a diurnally
enhanced cycle, thus storms are most likely during the late
afternoon/evening hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 310 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Humidity will markedly increase tomorrow as a warm front lifts
north across the entire area. Dewpoints will climb into the 70s
and yield relative humidity values in the 50 to 70 percent range.
Widespread wetting rainfall will occur late tomorrow afternoon
through late evening as a band of strong to severe thunderstorms
moves across the region. Showers and thunderstorms will continue
each day through next week.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...JDS