Oakdale, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

605
FXUS63 KMPX 132103
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
303 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Northwesterly winds continue to gust around 30 to 40 mph this
  evening behind a cold front, along with rapidly falling
  temperatures tonight

- Periods of light snow Thursday through Friday with total
  accumulations around 2-4" expected, highest amounts across
  western Wisconsin.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 301 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

We started the day off with sunny skies and temperatures soaring
into the 40s and upper 30s. Much of our warming slowed down by
noon as a low level cloud deck spread south across central
Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Temperatures will plummet into
the single digits and teens overnight as strong cold air
advection continues today. Northwest winds have been gusting
around 30 to 40 mph across southwestern Minnesota, and around 20
to 30 mph further north and east. Winds weaken, but remain
gusty through around sunrise tomorrow. The strong winds will
result in feels like temperatures bottoming out around or a few
degrees below zero in the morning. Clouds clear out for much of
tomorrow, allowing some rebound in temps, though it`ll be hard
to climb out of the teens.

Guidance remains in agreement for the development of an
anomalously strong upper level low over the Great Lakes.
Several kinks within the main flow will provide multiple chances
for light to moderate snow Thursday afternoon through early
Saturday morning. There may be lulls at times, but after all is
said and done, around 1 to 4 inches of snowfall can expected
with the highest amounts across eastern Minnesota into western
Wisconsin. There are two time periods to watch for elevated
impacts from this system... 1) The Thursday morning commute
could be difficult with the onset of snow arriving Thursday
afternoon and continuing into the evening. For this first wave,
forecast soundings show a double layer in the DGZ, though both
are relatively shallow. Winds will also be strong just above the
surface which could limit snowfall ratios. With both of these
in mind, we expect ratios to be around 13-16:1, producing a
quick 1 to 3 inches of snow for areas along and east of I-35. 2)
Light snow continues into Friday, though confidence is low on
how widespread. For areas that see falling snow, the combination
of very strong northwesterly winds could lead to blowing snow
concerns. Thus, another day of impacted travel is possible with
significantly reduced visibilities. One positive is that the
snow pack is virtually 2 inches or less across western and
central Minnesota where blowing snow tends to be the worst.
Areas north of St Cloud and Alexandria may be more susceptible
with around 6 inches of snow depth, though likely very crusted
over with ice at the moment. Winter Weather Advisories are
possible for either a combination or individual impacts from
these two scenarios as confidence increases over the next 24
hours.

We remain cold for the weekend and early part of next week, with
highs in the teens or single digits each day. The coldest
periods will be Sunday and Tuesday morning with air temps
dropping a few degrees below zero. Winds will generally remain
elevated, especially this weekend. There is a low chance for
light snow Sunday, otherwise drier conditions are expected
heading into next week.&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1135 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

A stratus deck near 2500 to 3500 ft is spreading south across
central Minnesota and western Wisconsin at the start of the
period. Expect MVFR cigs to continue through this afternoon and
evening. There may be on and off periods of MVFR and VFR with
the stratus settled in right around 3000 ft. WNW winds will
shift northwesterly through the period, with gusts up to 30 to
35 kts this afternoon and evening. Winds begin to weaken
heading into Wednesday morning. There is a low chance for
sprinkles or flurries this evening, mainly over western
Wisconsin, though confidence and impacts are too low to include
in the TAF at this time.

KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
THU...MVFR/-SN likely, chance IFR/LIFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
FRI...MVFR/-SN likely, chance IFR. Wind NW 15-20G30 kts.
SAT...MVFR likely, chance -SN early. Wind NW 10-15G25 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...BED