|
Moorhead, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for Moorhead MN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Moorhead MN
Issued by: National Weather Service Grand Forks, ND |
| Updated: 4:45 pm CDT Jun 12, 2025 |
|
This
Afternoon
Showers
Likely
|
Tonight
Showers
|
Friday
Scattered
Showers
|
Friday
Night
Isolated
Showers
|
Saturday
Cloudy then
Chance
Showers
|
Saturday
Night
Chance
Showers
|
Sunday
Chance
Showers
|
Sunday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
|
Monday
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
|
| Hi 65 °F |
Lo 53 °F |
Hi 62 °F |
Lo 50 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
Hi 77 °F |
Lo 60 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
|
Hazardous Weather Outlook
This Afternoon
|
Showers likely. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 65. Southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Tonight
|
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then scattered showers. Low around 53. East northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday
|
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then isolated showers after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. East wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
|
Isolated showers between 11pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. East wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Saturday
|
A 30 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. East wind 7 to 9 mph. |
Saturday Night
|
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday
|
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. East southeast wind 6 to 8 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Sunday Night
|
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. North northeast wind around 6 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Monday
|
Showers likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Monday Night
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. East wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. East wind 8 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. |
Tuesday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. North northwest wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Wednesday
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West northwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Wednesday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West northwest wind 8 to 10 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. |
Juneteenth
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. South southwest wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Moorhead MN.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
769
FXUS63 KFGF 122032
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
332 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Rain continues across southeastern North Dakota and west
central Minnesota. There is a 90 percent chance for over 1
inch of rain tonight into Friday afternoon south of the I-94
corridor.
- Period of strong to severe storms next week in some locations.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 332 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025
...Synopsis...
Near zonal flow with several weak shortwaves moving through
tonight and tomorrow, with one such shortwave near the SD border
this afternoon. We will stay on the cool side of the baroclinic
zone and instability will be fairly limited this afternoon and
again Friday. The weak shortwaves will continue over the top of
a ridge as it starts to build into the Plains for the weekend
and into Monday. A stronger trough coming in by Tuesday, with a
surface low moving through the southern Red River Valley. A
brief break on Wednesday with northwesterly flow and then
another ridge rider possible for Thursday.
...Rain tonight and tomorrow in southern counties...
Rain that has pushed into the southern CWA from SD so far has
ranged from a few hundredths to nearly half an inch. A little
bit of a break with rain getting more showery, but then the CAMs
bring in another round of showers and even few isolated
thunderstorms up from SD. Higher ends of the NBM bring up to 3
to 3.5 inches into our southern counties. Moisture transport is
good and there is 1.5 inches of pwats to work with, but
instability is pretty weak. Probabilities from the HREF for an
inch or more are very high down along the SD border, but drop to
around 50 percent for over 2 inches and less than 10 percent
for more than 3 inches. Given that the rain is expected over a
fairly large time frame from tonight into tomorrow, expect more
of a soaking rain than anything that would cause problems from
heavy rain.
...More active pattern in the extended...
Several shortwaves coming through the zonal flow or over top of
ridging. ECMWF EFI as some 50th to 70th percentiles for CAPE
above climatology, but mostly to our south and west. Can`t rule
out convection this time of year, especially with the stronger
shortwaves coming through Monday and Tuesday. Machine learning,
both the Pangu and FengWu, have 5 to 15 percent probabilities
for severe impacts into our counties Sunday and continuing into
the upcoming work week. Details impossible to parse out at the
point, but definitely looks more active.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025
VFR conditions with mainly mid and high clouds (and a bit of
smoke aloft) so far. Conditions will deteriorate as rain and
more moisture push towards the TAF sites later this afternoon
and overnight. Ceilings will drop to MVFR and then perhaps IFR
at some sites. Rain is most likely at KFAR and KBJI but have at
least VCSH at all airports. Some improvement by the end of the
period, but not all the way back to VFR for most locations.
Winds will increase out of the east, with some gusts up to
around 20 kts.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JR
AVIATION...JR
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
