Garden City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

181
FXUS63 KDDC 222235
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
435 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm weather is forecast through Friday and record highs are
  possible on Christmas Day.

- This weather pattern is unfavorable for precipitation for the
  remainder of December.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 302 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Upper level ridging will persist in the lee of the Rockies over
the next several days. Low to mid level downslope flow will
lead to very warm temperatures each day. The record high of 86
for Christmas Eve cannot be realistically broken; and it may
take hundreds of additional years to break this one. But the
record high for Christmas Day of 74 degrees has a chance to be
exceeded given full sun and downslope warming. However, a
southeast Colorado surface low often develops in quiescent
regimes; and this may shunt the stronger downslope flow into
the Panhandles. Regardless, it will warm whether we break
records or not. There is a chance that highs could be 70 or
higher each day through Friday at Dodge City, which could easily
break the highest 5-day average of 69 for the month of December
(observed from 5 December to 9 December, 1939). As opposed to
farther east, precipitation in the lee of the Rockies tends to
occur on the cold side of systems and not in the dry warm
sector.

Upper level troughs will traverse the northern and central
plains over the weekend; but in the absence of a closed mid
level cyclone and lack of low level cold air that could act as
a source of moist lift, precipitation will not occur through the
weekend. In the wake of this trough, an arctic air mass will
progress southeastward into the northern plains and Great Lakes.
However, the brunt of the cold air with northwest flow cold
outbreaks tends to stay east of the high plains, especially in
the absence of snow cover. But even if these cold surges do
make it this far south and west, they don`t persist long before
downslope warming pushes highs back up to average or above
average levels. This cold front will plunge deep into the
tropics so that low level moisture will be shunted well south of
Kansas. Bottom line is that there is very little chance of
measurable precipitation through the remainder of December.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 434 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will
be light and from the south, shifting to the north behind a weak
cold front towards sunrise tomorrow.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch/Hovorka_42