Malvern, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

422
FXUS64 KLZK 160552
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1252 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

-Windy conditions continue through this morning

-Very cold wind chills through this morning

-Well below freezing conditions expected this morning and again
tonight into Tuesday morning

-Temperatures rebound by the middle of next week...with well above
normal conditions by late this week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Most precip activity has moved east of the state early this Mon
morning. However...some lingering moisture across NRN sections was
resulting in some flurries. SFC pressure gradient remains tight over
the region...resulting in the windy conditions. There have been some
observed non-thunderstorm wind gusts over 50 mph at times earlier on
Sun evening. Expect the windy conditions to persist through the
morning hrs...with winds slowly relaxing later in the morning and
into the afternoon hrs. Keep the Wind Adv in place through around
sunrise.

These winds combined with the cold air filtering into the state
will result in wind chill values in the single digits and teens this
morning for most areas. Lows by just after sunrise will also dip
into the upper teens to low 30s. The Freeze Warning remains in
effect through this morning. Temps this afternoon will only warm
into the low 30s to mid 40s. Winds will become light/variable by
tonight into Tue morning. Lows area-wide will be below freezing for
all of the CWA. Have posted another Freeze Warning for tonight/Tue
morning.

Very dry air will filter into the state for Mon afternoon...and with
winds remaining elevated...the wild fire threat will increase
significantly. Will see near critical levels regarding winds...but as
the winds relax...that is when the lowest RH values below 25 percent
will be seen later this afternoon. Temps will remain well below
normal...which should help things keep from getting too aggressive
wild fire wise. Another very dry day will be seen for Tue as
well...but winds will be much lower.

Upper level high pressure will move closer to the region later this
week into the weekend. Temps will warm well above normal. Some areas
will see highs in the 80s...and there are some indications that a
few areas could approach 90 by Sat. Precip chances will also remain
low.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

MVFR cigs and -SN will be common across northern AR terminals
through daybreak. Otherwise, VFR conditions will be fairly
widespread through the period. Winds will be strongest this
morning, out of the NW with gusts between 30-40 kts. Through the
day winds will lessen somewhat with winds falling below 15 kts
shortly after 17/00z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     41  24  51  40 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         46  24  56  38 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       35  19  52  41 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    43  25  55  39 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  44  26  53  40 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     47  27  54  39 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      42  23  56  40 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  37  19  51  39 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        41  24  48  40 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     44  25  53  39 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   43  22  56  40 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         43  22  52  38 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      43  26  50  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-121>123-
130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-
340-341.

Freeze Warning until 10 AM CDT this morning for ARZ004>008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-103-112-113-
121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-
241-313-340-341.

Freeze Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Tuesday for
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...62
AVIATION...67