Flagstaff, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

111
FXUS65 KFGZ 230515
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1015 PM MST Sun Feb 22 2026

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry conditions and much warmer temperatures for
the coming week and even into next week. Winds will be light.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Ridging aloft steadily builds heading into next week
with temperatures soaring well above normal. Low level easterlies
will persist through early Monday, but the wind is losing its bite
as inversions are starting to break this afternoon.

500mb hghts for the next week will vary between 570dm-584dm, the
coldest mid-level temperatures will be near the Four Corners. This
means temperatures will rise, with many locations 10-15+ degrees
above normal for much of next week. A backdoor front may bring some
cooling to the northeast zones Thursday, but it is short-lived.

Winds will be generally light in this pattern and there is not any
precipitation in sight. Possibly a minor break down and some cooling
outside this forecast period, but low confidence at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...Monday 23/06Z through Tuesday 24/06Z...VFR conditions
with variable high clouds. Light and variable or terrain driven
overnight, especially at KSEZ with winds NE 10-15 kts gusts to
20-25 kts. Winds Monday N-NE 5-10 kts through around 20Z then
becoming variable 10 kts or less.

OUTLOOK...Tuesday 24/06Z through Thursday 26/06Z...VFR conditions.
Winds SW-W 10-15 kts with gust near 20 kts each day, light and
variable or terrain driven overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monday and Tuesday...Warm and dry with afternoon
temperatures reaching 5-15 degrees above normal on Monday and 10-20
degrees above average on Tuesday. Winds Monday light and variable,
becoming W 10-20 mph on Tuesday.  Minimum RH values between 15-35%
each day.

Wednesday through Friday...Warm and dry conditions with high
temperatures 10-20 degrees above normal each day. Winds W 10-20 mph
Wednesday, NW 5-15 mph Thursday and Friday. Minimum RH values
between 20-40% Wednesday, dropping to 15-30% Thursday and 15-25% on
Friday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff