Prichard, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

259
FXUS64 KMOB 100933
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
433 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

...New Discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 346 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Through Wednesday Night...

The upper trough over the eastern CONUS will lift northeast,
followed by an upper ridge building over the southeast states
through midweek. We resume a diurnal pattern through the near
term with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to occur
across the northern half of the forecast area this afternoon and
Wednesday afternoon, with numerous showers and storms across the
southern half near a developing seabreeze. With strong insolation
and surface heating today, we are anticipating an afternoon
environment with significant MLCAPE values ranging from 3,000 to
4,000j/kg. Therefore, a few of the stronger pulse-type storms this
afternoon may produce gusty winds up to 40-45 mph and hail up to
one-half inch in diameter. Frequent lightning and the threat of
localized flooding remains. A High Rip Current risk through this
afternoon will settle to Low midweek.

High temperatures today and Wednesday will range from 87 to 92
degrees. Low temperatures tonight should be between 66 to 72
degrees inland, with middle 70s along the coast. /22

Thursday Through Monday...

Unsettled summer like pattern looks to prevail as we approach the
weekend with broad southwesterly flow across the area. An upper
level low will likely get squished between two large highs in an
omega block over Texas keeping us on the soggy east side. As we
approach the end of the week and into the weekend, a stalled
surface boundary that has plagued us the front half of the week
will have mixed out leading to a more traditional summertime
pattern with storms developing along the advancing seabreeze and
remnant boundaries. Storms will likely be a little more widespread
than a typical summer day as some upper shortwave troughs will
likely progress through the southwesterly flow and the presence of
the weak upper level low centered to our west. PWATS will be in
the 1.5 to 2 inch range each day allowing for efficient rain
processes with any storms. While a more focused heavy rainfall
event doesn`t look likely, continued rounds of rain throughout the
week could result in localized flash flooding. Temperatures will
continue to be on the warm side with highs in the 90s and with all
the moisture, do not expect any relief from the mugginess this
week. BB/8

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

MVFR ceilings developing over inland areas overnight will lift to
VFR shortly after daybreak. VFR conditions will prevail otherwise
over the next 24 hours outside of scattered showers and storms
redeveloping on Tuesday. Winds will remain light westerly to
southwesterly. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 351 PM CDT Mon Jun 9 2025

A light to moderate southwesterly flow today will become light
southeasterly to southerly through the remainder of the week.
Shower and thunderstorm chances will remain high through Saturday.
Overnight convection developing over open Gulf waters may contain
waterspouts in the late night/early morning period. Otherwise, no
impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
being possible near thunderstorms. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  71  88  72  88  74  88  74 /  60  30  70  20  70  30  80  30
Pensacola   88  75  87  76  88  77  87  77 /  60  40  70  30  70  40  80  60
Destin      88  78  89  78  89  79  88  78 /  60  40  70  30  70  50  80  60
Evergreen   90  69  91  70  91  71  91  72 /  50  20  60  20  60  30  80  30
Waynesboro  89  67  91  69  91  70  91  71 /  50  10  40  10  60  30  70  20
Camden      87  66  88  68  89  70  89  71 /  40  20  40  10  50  30  60  30
Crestview   90  70  91  70  92  71  90  72 /  70  30  80  20  70  30  90  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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