Helena, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

231
FXUS64 KBMX 221220
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
620 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 615 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

 - Light showers will affect parts of the Gulf Coast and Tennessee
   Valley regions today and Tuesday, though a majority of the
   activity looks to be displaced from Central Alabama.

 - Above-normal temperatures for late December are expected from
   Tuesday to Saturday, by as much as 15-20 degrees for highs and
   near 15 degrees for lows.

 - A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on
   Sunday, offering an opportunity for showers and perhaps a few
   thunderstorms.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Sunday)
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Isentropic lift and low level moisture will produce variable
cloudiness across the region today and Tuesday along with some
light shower activity. It still looks like the majority of showers
should be displaced from central Alabama; however, just about
anywhere thick cloudiness occurs, especially today and tonight, weak
radar echos in the form of virga or sprinkles could appear.

An anomalous ridge of high pressure will become our primary weather
feature mid to late week, resulting in a multi-day stretch of
above-normal temperatures. High temperatures in the lower to
middle 70s will place us 15-20 degrees above normal for late
December. There is a medium chance that some locations could reach
the upper 70s! Rain-free weather is forecast on and around
Christmas.

Forecast models vary regarding the upper-level weather pattern
heading into the second half of the weekend/Sunday. We`ll have to
watch trends regarding a trough axis moving across the Great Lakes
region in terms of its configuration. Solutions with a more
amplified trough favor a sharp temperature drop and more in the
way of precipitation with the front, while less amplified
solutions are dialed back on the scope of both.

89^GSatterwhite

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Any precip today will likely be to the W of any C AL TAF sites.
Otherwise, look for MVFR conditions for the morning hours for BHM/
EET/TCL with conditions improving to VFR cigs between 15-18z. E-SE
winds expected today 5-10kts with mixing. Could see a few gusts as
well. Winds taper down tonight.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

MinRHs today will be lowest across east Alabama, averaging in the
20 percent range from late morning through the afternoon, but much
higher across west Alabama. No low RHs are forecast for the
remainder of the week due to seasonably high dew points.

Winds will increase today to near 10 mph from the east-southeast
to southeast, easing at sunset. Light winds are forecast on
Tuesday from the southwest, light again on Wednesday but from the
west/southwest. No big or widespread rain makers are in the
forecast through at least Saturday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 23:
KBHM: 73/2015
KEET: 74/2015
KANB: 73/2015
KTCL: 75/1964
KMGM: 78/1990

December 24:
KBHM: 77/1964
KEET: 74/2016
KANB: 78/1964
KTCL: 86/2019
KMGM: 79/2016

December 25:
KBHM: 78/2016
KEET: 79/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 80/2016
KMGM: 82/2016

December 26:
KBHM: 76/2021
KEET: 75/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 75/2021
KMGM: 82/2015

December 27:
KBHM: 77/2015
KEET: 77/2015
KANB: 76/2015
KTCL: 79/2015
KMGM: 80/2016

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     58  47  69  49 /  10  10   0   0
Anniston    59  47  69  50 /  10  10   0   0
Birmingham  60  51  69  52 /  10  10   0   0
Tuscaloosa  62  51  71  51 /  10  10   0   0
Calera      63  48  72  50 /  10  10   0   0
Auburn      62  47  70  52 /  10  10   0   0
Montgomery  64  48  73  50 /  10  10   0   0
Troy        65  46  73  50 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION...08