Enterprise, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

695
FXUS62 KTAE 111356
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
956 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

...New UPDATE, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 955 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

- A couple of strong thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
  evening, mainly in the Florida Counties and near I-75 in GA, with
  wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph, small hail, and dangerous lightning.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 955 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Less cloud cover has allowed temperatures to warm a little quicker.
Adjusted temps and sky conditions to show this.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 247 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Today, thunderstorm chances should focus in the FL counties with
the seabreeze and near I-75 corridor in GA. Expect more forcing
compared to Sunday, although mid-level lapse rates are weak, and
deep layer shear is only around 30 kts. Modest SB CAPE and DCAPE
should be enough for a couple strong storms. The main concerns are
wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph, small hail, and dangerous lightning.
With shortwaves aloft, the front will move slowly through the
region tonight, and rain and thunderstorm chances continue mainly
in the FL counties. Instability should be elevated over land, so
any storms will have a tough time producing gusty winds. The main
concern is a low potential for pockets of heavy rainfall, which
is detailed in the Hydrology section.

Looking ahead, seasonable temperatures and mainly dry weather
are expected for the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

A cold front will arrive from the northwest around midday at DHN and
ABY. Meanwhile, a typically vigorous late spring seabreeze will get
going near the coast. Both of these features will be sufficient to
focus isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon. Confidence is highest at our FL terminals.

The front will stall just offshore this evening and may become a new
focus for rain and embedded thunder late this evening through the
overnight, especially at ECP and TLH.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 955 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Light southwesterly winds with a gentle breeze in the seabreeze
zone can be expected for this afternoon. A cold front will pass
through the waters late tonight, shifting winds to be northerly,
then northeasterly/easterly through the day Tuesday. Seas of 1-2
feet can be expected throughout the week with another front coming
through by Thursday, clocking winds around to northwesterly.
There is a chance for showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms late
Monday night into Tuesday. Dry and tranquil conditions are
expected afterwards.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 247 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Stalled front leads to more wetting rain chances this afternoon and
evening mainly FL counties and again Tuesday in the same areas.
Thunderstorms are also possible, with erratic wind directions and
gusty winds possible. A drying trend should take place by Wednesday
with a low to medium chance of dispersion in the high range. The
main concern will be high dispersion possible in Southwest GA this
afternoon with a return to fair dispersion on Tuesday. Expect the
seabreeze each day to shift wind direction during the afternoon and
evening in the FL counties.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 247 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Additional rainfall up to 1 inch is possible with the stalled frontal
boundary across the FL counties through Tuesday. There is uncertainty
in terms of locally higher amounts, with some of the CAMs generating
pockets of >3 inch rainfall, as solutions vary from near I-10 to off
the Gulf Coast. That will all depend on where the frontal boundary is
located and if the higher solutions verify. Overall >3" amounts are
a low probability, but could lead to flooding issues if they occurred
during a short period of time. A most likely scenario is minor poor
drainage flooding of low-lying areas with the higher rainfall rates.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   89  67  85  64 /  30  50  50  10
Panama City   85  69  85  67 /  20  50  40  20
Dothan        85  64  82  62 /  30  30  10  10
Albany        86  64  81  61 /  20  20  10   0
Valdosta      89  65  82  61 /  20  50  20   0
Cross City    89  67  87  64 /  10  40  50  10
Apalachicola  83  70  81  70 /  10  50  40  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LF
LONG TERM....LF
AVIATION...Haner
MARINE...Montgomery
FIRE WEATHER...LF
HYDROLOGY...LF