Dothan, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

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Weather Forecast Discussion

903
FXUS62 KTAE 241506
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1006 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1006 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

Other than adjusting temperatures a bit to account for the latest
trends, no major adjustments were made to the forecast.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

Surface high pressure centered just to the north will keep fairly
light northeasterly winds in place across the area through tonight.
Zonal flow aloft currently will amplify a bit and place mid level
ridging overhead overnight tonight, although no noticeable impact is
expected. Expect a slight warming trend to continue, with today`s
highs forecast in the upper 50s to mid 60s. The northeasterly winds
will help keep the drier airmass in place another day, so not much
change is expected in low temperatures tonight compared to this
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

On Wednesday a shortwave originating over Texas will quickly move
northeast towards the Ohio Valley. As it does so its PV maxima will
continue to propagate eastward across the northern Gulf States. As
this shortwave deamplifies on its way northeast, this PV maxima will
quickly dissipate and forcing for ascent fizzles out with it. Thus,
if we get any rain tomorrow it would either be just offshore or our
extreme western counties. On Thursday the aforementioned shortwave
is no more and a ridge amplifies over eastern CONUS. This will be
the beginning of our warming trend into the extended.

Expect daytime highs generally in the 60s to low 70s with overnight
lows generally in the mid 40s to low 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

In the extended we see a similar pattern as we did in the short
term. A series of shortwaves will attempt to progress eastward but
are blocked by the aforementioned ridge. These shortwaves deamplify
as they race northeastward. However, each shortwave will nudge the
ridge eastward and gradually break it down. Each shortwave will
bring with it a chance for rain, primarily across our western
counties, but again, the forcing for ascent just isn`t there and
without rising motion you have no weather. By Sunday we may see a
shortwave successfully push a cold front through the region leading
to widespread PoPs in the 45-55% range. This shortwave will of
course be deamplifying, like the ones before it, but there may be
enough return flow as winds shift to being southeasterly along with
a weak PV streamer moving across the southeast to induce rain.

Otherwise, expect generally benign weather conditions as the
ridge holds the line, preventing the cold grasp of winter from
reaching our region, while also gradually warming us up to above
average temps.

Expect daytime highs generally in the 70s this weekend with
overnight lows generally in the mid 50s to low 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

MVFR to occasionally IFR cloud cover will hang around for a couple
more hours this morning before lifting to VFR. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

Moderate northeast breezes continue through Tuesday night, as a
wedge of high pressure persists over the Mid-Atlantic. Winds turn
more easterly for the second half of the week as the high expands
across the western Atlantic.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

High pressure will keep winds light for the next couple of days
before becoming more easterly and strengthening a bit Thursday. A
gradual warming and moistening trend is expected through the week.
Low dispersions will be possible this afternoon and potentially
again Wednesday due to the light winds and relatively low mixing
heights. Otherwise, there are no fire weather concerns.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 407 AM EST Tue Dec 24 2024

Rainfall amounts will generally be around an inch or less through
the next week. There are currently no flooding concerns.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   63  44  66  50 /   0   0   0  10
Panama City   65  46  68  52 /   0   0   0  30
Dothan        61  37  64  46 /   0   0   0  20
Albany        60  36  64  44 /   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      63  40  66  48 /   0   0   0  10
Cross City    68  44  69  51 /   0   0   0  10
Apalachicola  63  50  64  56 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...Merrifield
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Oliver