Birmingham, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

943
FXUS64 KBMX 230559
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1159 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1138 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025

 - Above-normal temperatures are expected into the weekend, with
   highs running 15-20 degrees above average, and lows running 15
   degrees above average.

 - A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on
   Sunday, swinging temperatures back to below normal to start
   next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Wednesday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1138 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025

A stout upper-level ridge should take over as the dominant weather
feature by this afternoon, and remain in place for much of the next
week. Given the depth of this ridge, very unseasonable temperatures
are expected into next weekend, with temperatures running 15-20
degrees warmer than average for this time of the year. Little to no
rainfall is also expected the next week, given the lack of any kind
of forcing under this ridge.

By the weekend however, a very potent trough and cold front will
begin dropping south over the Great Lakes. This cold front should
begin working into the region by Sunday, with rain chances
increasing by the morning hours. This front will be very
progressive, with it pushing all the way through the region by late
Sunday night. Strong cold air advection will quickly work in
behind it, with temperatures falling to at, or below freezing for
most of the region into Monday morning. From here, it looks like
temperatures will be far more seasonable, if not below average for
a few days to start the next workweek.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1138 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025

A thick layer of clouds will linger for most of the next 18-hours,
but thankfully all terminals should remain in VFR category. A
brief period of MVFR CIGS will be possible in the morning, but
confidence was not high enough to introduce that at this time.

/44/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

S/SW winds will begin to increase today, ushering in plenty of
moisture from the Gulf. MinRH values will generally range above 50%
into next weekend, with mixing heights ebbing and flowing with the
cloud cover. No organized rain chances are anticipated through the
workweek, with drought conditions persisting for the foreseeable
future.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 23:
KBHM: 73/2015
KEET: 74/2015
KANB: 73/2015
KTCL: 75/1964
KMGM: 78/1990

December 24:
KBHM: 77/1964
KEET: 74/2016
KANB: 78/1964
KTCL: 86/2019
KMGM: 79/2016

December 25:
KBHM: 78/2016
KEET: 79/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 80/2016
KMGM: 82/2016

December 26:
KBHM: 76/2021
KEET: 75/2016
KANB: 78/2015
KTCL: 75/2021
KMGM: 82/2015

December 27:
KBHM: 77/2015
KEET: 77/2015
KANB: 76/2015
KTCL: 79/2015
KMGM: 80/2016

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     48  70  49  73 /  10   0   0   0
Anniston    49  70  51  74 /  10   0   0   0
Birmingham  52  71  53  73 /  10   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  52  73  52  73 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      49  73  50  75 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      49  71  53  75 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  49  75  51  74 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        48  74  51  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION.../44/
AVIATION.../44/