Wichita, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

723
FXUS63 KICT 232335
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
535 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another round of fog tonight into Wednesday morning, with some
  dense fog possible.

- Unseasonably warm temps look to now remain through Saturday
  with cold front moving through Saturday night.

- Precipitation continues to remain out of the forecast for at
  least and next several days and potentially longer.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 235 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Currently have upper ridging from the Lower Mississippi Valley
through the Southern Plains, with an upper trough off of the
West Coast. At the surface, a cold front extends across northern
MO and across north central and northeast KS.

Widespread dense fog that affected all of southeast and south
central KS through the morning hours, now only remains
generally along the KS Turnpike and is continuing to shrink.
With an unseasonably moist airmass remaining in place, another
round of fog will be likely tonight into Wed morning, affecting
most of the same areas as this morning. Dense fog will once
again be possible and at this point confidence is high enough to
run with an advisory.

Widespread low clouds and fog may have an affect on temps for
Wed, so did lower maxes a few degrees. However, just like
today, areas that do clear out will see a quick spike in temps.
Everything still looks on track for warm to near record temps
for Christmas Day, with 70s likely across southern KS with some
approaching upper 70s to near 80 along the KS/OK border. Still
looking for some weak upper energy to top the ridge on Thu
afternoon/night and will help get the Northern/Central Plains
into zonal flow aloft. Confidence remains high in mild temps
for Fri, with ICT and SLN potentially setting new max temp
records with readings around 70.

There remains good agreement between the ECMWF and GFS in
tracking a more robust shortwave out of southwest Canada and
into the Northern Plains by early Sat evening and into the
Upper Mississippi Valley by Sun morning. This solution is quite
a bit slower than the 12z runs from yesterday and would hold the
colder air back to the north longer. Therefore, it appears now
we will hold onto the warmer temps through Saturday, with the
cold front moving through Saturday night. So at this time
confidence is high that we are looking at a return to more
seasonal temps for Sun into the start of the work week, with
highs back into the 40s with even cooler readings for Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 530 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Dense fog was already redeveloping over south central Kansas
after only a very brief lull. Confidence is high that widespread
dense fog will gradually expand over south central and
southeast Kansas this evening and tonight before building into
central Kansas late tonight or during the predawn hours on
Wednesday. Light southwest winds are expected to allow the fog
to mix out during the mid to late morning hours on Wed.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Wednesday for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>094.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...MWM