Newton, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

283
FXUS63 KICT 022307
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
507 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Overall fairly quiet weather expected the next several days
  with no major storm systems on the horizon.

- Chance for light rain/snow mix Tuesday night, but little to
  no accumulation expected.

- Somewhat cooler Tuesday and Wednesday, with mostly above
  average temperatures thereafter.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

PRECIPITATION:

A pair of shortwaves embedded within a digging central and eastern
CONUS longwave trough should support scattered light precipitation
Tuesday night into early Wednesday, with the brunt of guidance
favoring locations generally along/west of Interstate 135. Thermal
profiles from model soundings support a light rain/snow mix, with
low level wet bulb temperatures in the 30-35 degree range. This is
not expected to be a big event by any means given rather weak lift,
with the worst case scenario supporting only a dusting of slushy
snow accumulation in spots.

Otherwise, building high pressure will support a long stretch of dry
weather Wednesday through the weekend. Thereafter, deterministic
consensus supports the potential for increasing rain chances early
to mid next week, as a "lead" upper trough moves over Mid-America,
with another deeper western CONUS troughing digging on its heels.
Still lots of uncertainty this far out with model changes likely, so
stay tuned.

TEMPERATURES:

An upper shortwave and an associated weak cold front passing through
the region will support temperatures a bit cooler Tuesday and
Wednesday, but still plus/minus 5 degrees either side of normal for
most locations. Thereafter from Wednesday through well into next
week, deterministic and ensemble consensus supports mostly above
average temperatures across the region, as heights/thickness
increase across the Heartland. High temperatures this Thursday and
Friday will likely reach the 60s, especially over southern and
western Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 503 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period. A weak
cold front will move through overnight, although winds will
remain less than 10 kt. Northwesterly wind speeds will increase
by late morning to 10-15 kt. Low clouds will spread south and
southwest from portions of IA and MO and may impact portions of
eastern KS Tuesday afternoon. Confidence is too low for any
prevailing mention of MVFR at this point but later outlooks may
need to introduce.


&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...BRF