Haysville, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

384
FXUS63 KICT 132020
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
220 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Low chances (under 30%) of a few showers in central and
  eastern Kansas late this evening into Wednesday morning.

- Potential for strong northwest winds on Friday could lead to
  elevated fire weather concerns.

- Repeated cold fronts will lead to near normal temperatures
  for much of the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 217 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Currently, broad troughing extends across the Great Lakes region and
into the Northeast U.S. with a short wave diving into the Northern
Plains. An associated surface front is draped across the Dakotas.
Water vapor satellite imagery shows an upper level cutoff low
centered over the Southern High Plains. Ridging continues across the
western CONUS and northwesterly flow extends through all levels over
our area this afternoon. This downsloping has helped our
temperatures climb into the 50s and lower 60s thus far today.
However, thick mid-level clouds extending across the base of the
short wave are limiting warming slightly. Though well above average
temperatures are still expected for much of the forecast area today.

The frontal boundary across the Northern Plains will dive across our
area overnight. A few showers along and just behind the front are
anticipated in central and eastern Kansas though coverage looks to
remain relatively limited so only including 20-30 POPs. Gusty
northerly winds are expected behind the front from early morning
through the day on Wednesday. Temperatures on Wednesday will remain
closer to normal for this time of year with highs topping out in the
middle to upper 40s. Temperatures will recover into the 50s on
Thursday with breezy south-southwesterly winds ahead of the next
cold front.

Going forward into the end of the week and the weekend, repeated
short waves diving into the Northern Plains will lead to a barrage
of cold fronts impacting our area. The main forecast concern will be
the gusty winds, specifically on Friday as a tight pressure gradient
builds between the deep low over the Great Lakes and the high over
the Rockies. Model guidance continues to trend upward with
widespread gusts on Friday afternoon between 40-50 mph likely and
gusts over 50 mph possible for our central Kansas counties. Breezy
conditions will persist into the weekend, though at a slightly
lesser magnitude. Then, as has been the trend so far this winter,
the trough will continue to pivot just to our east keeping the
coldest temps centered over the Eastern U.S. and away from the
forecast area. Highs primarily in the 40s are expected for Friday
into early next week with lows dipping down into the 20s and upper
teens each night. With the repeated surge of relatively dry arctic
air, POPs will remain low with each frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1139 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Considerable high clouds are impacting the area this afternoon
with light westerly winds. A backdoor cold front will arrive
tonight bringing gusty northwest winds tonight into the day on
Wednesday. A few sprinkles or light rain showers may impact the
region late this evening and tonight but minimal impacts to TAFs
are anticipated. Northwest winds may gust over 35 knots at times
on Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 620 AM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

     Friday Afternoon...

Strong northwest winds with gusts up to 45 mph and relative
humidity values down to 25% will support widespread very high
grassland fire danger. Cool temperatures in the 40s may somewhat
mitigate fire weather concerns.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...MWM
FIRE WEATHER...JC