Brookhaven, Georgia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

373
FXUS62 KFFC 021846
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
246 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 632 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

 - Record max temperatures expected Thursday, Friday and Saturday

 - Widespread rain with amounts over 2 inches likely on Sunday and
   Monday.

 - Storms on Sunday could be strong to severe

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 202 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Primary forecast concern is actually unseasonably warm temperatures
that will likely break all-time daily records.

Wedge still holding strong in far NE counties, but otherwise warm
and breezy today with less showers and storms than expected so
far. Only light showers observed are in upstate SC at this time.

As noted, main talking point are max temps likely breaking daily
all-time records the next 3 days (Thursday, Friday, Saturday) and
again on Sunday over eastcentral counties south and east of Macon.
As for Thursday, max temps should exceed 90 in a few spots in
Middle GA. Already saw some spots reach 90 this afternoon which
was a bit above NBM guidance.

While we will not reach any official heat advisory criteria using
the heat index, the NWS HeatRisk product that is based on max and
min temperature and how it compares to climatology for this time
of year is indicating that some areas of Middle GA will be in the
Orange or Moderate level (level 2 out of 4) of heat-related impacts
over the next 3 days. Those who are vulnerable to heat or outdoor
workers with health concerns may be at risk.

As for precip, expecting even lower chance of showers than we had
today over far NE GA tomorrow. Any rain that does fall will be light
with amounts less than 0.05 inch.

SNELSON

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday morning through next Tuesday)
Issued at 202 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Very Warm To Record Breaking Heat Through Saturday:

Heat will be the story through Saturday as an anomalously strong
500 mb mid to upper level ridge sets up over the eastern US,
extending north from the Caribbean. The associated strong surface-
850mb ridging will be parked to the east over the western
Atlantic, with stout south-southwesterly winds pumping warm and
humid air across Georgia. High temperatures will be in the upper
80s to low 90s on Friday and Saturday. These temps are nearly 20
degrees above normal for this  time of year, and overnight lows
will follow suit, only dropping to the 60s each night. All
climate sites could see record breaking max and min temperatures
both days.

Showers and Thunderstorms Return Sunday into Next Week:

As we head into Sunday, a strong trough over the central US will
move east and start to kick out the ridge. A cold front
associated with this trough will slowly push through the region
Sunday into early Monday, bringing along widespread showers and
thunderstorms. There is potential for strong to severe storms
along and ahead of the front as there will be plenty of shear in
place, but instability looks to be a limiting factor yet again.
SPC has a 15% severe weather outlook for most of Georgia on
Sunday. Due to the convective activity and slow moving nature of
the front, localized flooding may also become a concern.
Following the cold front, much cooler temperatures and dry air
will move into the region through the middle of next week.

Culver

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

IFR cigs still lingering in northeast Georgia including KAHN early
this afternoon, but stratus should be lifting north and clearing
from the south by 20Z at KAHN. Elsewhere, MVFR bkn cigs will be
sct VFR by 20Z where it isn`t already, including ATL metro
airports. Expect stratus with IFR cigs to develop overnight over
east Georgia and spread west into ATL metro airports and KMCN
through 12Z Thurs before slowing and then clearing from the west
through 16-17Z. Not clear if KATL will see IFR cigs but should be
close. Sfc winds will be SSE 10-12kts G20-22kts this afternoon
then SE 3-8kts after 00Z then could be due south between 16-21Z,
expect winds to be just west of due south (190deg) but there is
some uncertainty especially on timing. ATL partners should prepare
accordingly for some uncertainty on directional operations.


//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...

Low confidence on SSE vs SSW sfc winds 16-21Z Thurs
Medium confidence on IFR likelihood and timing
High confidence on all other elements

Nelson

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 202 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

All-time daily record max and min temperatures are below.

Records for 04-03

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      88 1934     47 1987     62 2007     26 1992
                                        1974
   KATL      87 2012     39 1987     65 1974     29 1992
   KCSG      89 1945     50 1915     70 1977     32 1962
   KMCN      89 2012     51 1901     69 1977     30 2021
                1957



Records for 04-04

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      89 1934     47 2013     66 1999     29 1915
                            1987
   KATL      85 1969     47 2013     66 1880     30 1987
                            1987                    1936
                                                    1891
   KCSG      89 1934     52 2013     65 2012     33 1987
                1918
   KMCN      88 1969     50 2013     69 1977     31 1992
                1954
                1934



Records for 04-05

               Max Temperature         Min Temperature
  Station      High        Low         High        Low
  -------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
   KAHN      88 2010     47 1964     62 1969     29 1944
                                                    1891
   KATL      89 1988     36 1891     66 1880     28 1881
   KCSG      91 1934     58 1962     65 1969     34 1987
   KMCN      91 1988     53 1944     63 2023     32 2000
                                        1969
                                        1922


&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  86  65  89 /  30  10   0  10
Atlanta         66  87  67  89 /  20   0   0  10
Blairsville     59  80  62  84 /  30  20  10  20
Cartersville    64  89  64  91 /  10   0   0  10
Columbus        65  89  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     64  84  66  87 /  30  10  10  10
Macon           65  89  64  90 /  20   0   0  10
Rome            63  88  65  90 /  10   0   0  10
Peachtree City  63  87  63  89 /  10   0   0  10
Vidalia         67  91  67  91 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....Culver
AVIATION...SNELSON