Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

721
FXUS62 KTBW 030638
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
238 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

A closed upper low spins over southern Ontario with the associated
990 mb surface low located over Lake Superior. A cold front extends
from a triple point over Michigan southward to northern Mississippi.
A major severe weather outbreak is currently ongoing in that region
and will continue into Thursday. Closer to home here in Florida,
Broad upper ridging extends from the central gulf, over Florida and
then further eastward to Bermuda. On the surface, a 1034 mb high
pressure center off the New England coast ridges southwest through
the western Atlantic, across Florida and into the eastern gulf. This
will keep rain-free conditions, record breaking heat and breezy
southeast winds over Florida for today.

By Friday morning, the area of low pressure and frontal boundary
moves farther eastward while the area of high pressure shifts
southward near Bermuda, continuing to ridge westward over Florida
and into the eastern gulf. This area of high pressure will remain
quasi-stationary near Bermuda through the weekend keeping above
average temperatures and rain-free conditions across Florida. By
Sunday evening, the high pressure shifts east of Bermuda while a
cold front approaches the area from the west. This front will bring
us our next chance of showers and storms starting early Monday
morning over the northeast gulf and Nature Coast and spreading
farther south through the day on Monday and continuing into Tuesday.
The front will push south and east of Florida by Tuesday evening
with clearing conditions expected by the middle of next week. This
will also bring an end to the record breaking heat and cool things
down for a few days next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 236 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

VFR and rain-free conditions will prevail at all terminals through
the period. Light southeast winds less than 10 knots will persist
overnight, then increasing to around 10-15 knots with gusts up to 23
knots late morning and continuing through the late afternoon, then
becoming less than 10 knots once again by Thursday evening.|

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 236 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

High pressure ridging across Florida and into the eastern gulf will
dominate the weather through the end of the week and into the
weekend. This will keep rain-free conditions and breezy southeast
winds around 10-15 knots and seas 2-4 feet across the eastern gulf
waters. The next chance of showers and storms will come next Monday
and Tuesday as a cold front moves through the region.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 236 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Warm weather, rain-free conditions and breezy southeast winds will
continue through the end of the week and into the weekend as high
pressure ridges across Florida. RH values will remain above critical
levels through the weekend as well. The only fire concern will be
some high dispersions the next few days due to breezy southeast
winds. A cold front moves through the area next Monday and Tuesday
bringing a chance of showers and storms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  72  91  71 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  91  70  91  69 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  91  69  91  68 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  91  71  91  70 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  93  66  92  64 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  88  72  88  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/CLIMATE...Oglesby