Town 'n' Country, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Town 'n' Country FL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Town 'n' Country FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL |
Updated: 2:17 pm EDT Aug 17, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Scattered T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Sunny then T-storms Likely
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Monday Night
 T-storms Likely then Scattered T-storms
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Tuesday
 Sunny then Scattered T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Scattered T-storms
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Wednesday
 Sunny then Scattered T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Scattered T-storms
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Thursday
 Scattered T-storms
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Thursday Night
 Isolated T-storms
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Lo 77 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 79 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 79 °F |
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Tonight
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. North wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Monday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 102. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Monday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. East northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tuesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 100. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Tuesday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 92. North wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 79. Northwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Thursday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Sunny, with a high near 93. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Thursday Night
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 79. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Friday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Friday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Town 'n' Country FL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
832
FXUS62 KTBW 172354
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
754 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 744 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
VFR conditions expected across terminals as most of the activity
close to being done. Light and variable winds prevail and become
west to northwest on Monday along the sea breeze. Moisture
increases through the period, which should support an increase in
storm coverage. Showers and storms should develop near the coast
earlier and push towards the interior though the afternoon. Then,
outflow boundaries could push convection back towards the coast
into the evening.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 135 PM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
Weak upper-level ridging and surface high pressure continue to be
dominant across the Florida peninsula, favoring an extremely light
ESE flow across the peninsula that veers onshore during the
afternoon. This is beginning to take place now, with the west coast
sea breeze now evident in visible satellite as thunderstorms
develop along the coast.
Major hurricane Erin will have a substantial impact on the overall
synoptic pattern in the coming days. Riding along the southern
periphery of ridging in the Caribbean, Erin is expected to
eventually make a northerly turn that takes the storm along the
eastern seaboard, following a break in the ridge. While passing
far enough to our east to negate any serious impacts across West
Central and SWFL, the storm will cause large, powerful surf along
the east coast of Florida, and dictate the ultimate placement and
intensity of the ridge axis across the state.
For the next couple days, the ridge remains pretty much directly
overhead. As Erin passes to the east Tuesday, the gradient will
tighten some, and the flow will turn NE. Some drier air is likely to
be pulled over us, and depending upon the exact structure and
proximity, we are probably looking at subsidence. This favors lower
rain chances and thus less afternoon relief from the heat during the
middle of the week.
As Erin lifts to the north towards the end of the week, a deeper
moisture fetch feeding into the storm returns, and the flow veers to
a southwesterly direction. This will favor earlier convective
initiation on Thursday and Friday along the coast, with storms
transitioning inland during the afternoon. It also would support a
warmer and more humid start to the day, with lows struggling to get
into the 70s especially along the coast.
By the weekend, ridging builds back in, and the overall flow trends
more neutral and then ESE again late in the weekend. With ample
moisture, this would favor a much more typical synoptic pattern and
thus standard setup for shower and thunderstorm activity for the
weekend.
While the nuances of the forecast have been addressed in this
discussion, ultimately these are just that - nuances. Day-to-day,
most probably won`t notice much of a difference. The overall
expectation, despite a major hurricane moving east of the state, is
for a fairly benign weather week that resembles a fairly common week
in August, with scattered to numerous thunderstorms and temperatures
climbing into the low-to-mid 90s each day.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 80 93 79 94 / 40 60 30 50
FMY 78 95 77 94 / 40 60 30 60
GIF 78 95 77 95 / 40 70 20 40
SRQ 77 93 76 93 / 30 50 30 50
BKV 74 93 74 94 / 40 70 20 40
SPG 80 91 79 91 / 40 60 40 50
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Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 2
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Flannery/Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT...Fleming
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn
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