Tampa, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

946
FXUS62 KTBW 220718
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
218 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024
Chilly start to the day with areas of early morning frost across
portions of the nature coast. Surface high pressure will move to
the mid Atlantic coast today with boundary layer winds shifting to
the northeast off the Atlantic this afternoon. This will begin the
process of airmass modification over west central and southwest
Florida with temperatures and low level moisture gradually
rebounding over the next couple of days.

Early next week, high temperatures will return above climatic
normals with highs around 70 north to the mid/upper 70s central
and south under partly cloudy skies. Although conditions will
remain predominately dry, northeast to east boundary layer flow
off the Atlantic will generate a few showers advecting onshore the
east coast of Florida. Showers will dissipate as they push
inland, but a risk remains for a brief light shower over the
interior Tuesday through Thursday afternoons.

An U/L ridge will build over the eastern seaboard and Florida late
in the week with continued mild temperatures and dry conditions.
However, Euro and GFS hinting at U/L energy moving over portions
of the Florida peninsula from the south with increasing deep
layer moisture and a chance for rain. Will need to monitor if/how
this evolves as NBM remains dry, which is preferred solution at
this stage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours under mostly
clear skies.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024
Winds and seas will remain a bit elevated today, but generally
below SCEC levels. Evening surge may create brief SCEC conditions
after sunset for a few hours. Winds and seas will gradually
subside early next as high pressure holds over the waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024
No fire weather hazards expected as the dry air over the region
will begin to modify with minimum afternoon relative humidity
levels generally in the upper 40s to around 50 percent today, and
slightly higher on Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  68  53  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  73  55  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  71  56  77  57 /   0   0  10   0
SRQ  70  54  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  68  47  74  50 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  67  57  72  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby