Tampa, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

093
FXUS62 KTBW 221808
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
108 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cautionary level winds on some of the waters today.

- Patchy, dense fog possible each morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 102 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

A very weak frontal boundary moved south over the area last night
into this morning, and has stalled over south FL. What does this
mean for our area? A very slight chance of an isolated shower
overnight tonight into tomorrow morning. Mainly for interior
portions of the forecast area. Today, we also have increased ENE
winds that will be quite gusty at times. Otherwise, high pressure
will settle back over the peninsula tomorrow and the remainder of
the week will feel like a broken record. Cool in the mornings,
warm, dry and sunny in the afternoons. The only significant
weather feature will be the possibility of patchy, dense fog in
the early morning hours.

A change to the pattern arrives Sunday night, as a cold front moves
through the state. Though current models are not showing much in the
way of rain, they are hinting that this front will usher in a
respectable cool down. Wide spread lows in the 30s and 40s are
looking possible the last couple days of the year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 102 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

VFR conditions prevail. Gusty ENE winds will begin to diminish
overnight. A healthy deck of cumulus clouds are currently streaming
over the state. Cloud coverage is expected to continue to increase
throughout the evening, before clearing out tomorrow mid morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 102 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

Cautionary level winds continue over the waters through the
remainder of the day before diminishing overnight. Winds remain
below cautionary levels through the remainder of the week. There
is a possibility of land fog advecting over the near shore waters
early in the mornings this week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 102 PM EST Mon Dec 22 2025

Fire weather concerns remain minimal as RH values stay above
critical levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  64  81  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  82  60  82 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  62  80  57  81 /  10   0   0   0
SRQ  63  82  58  81 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  54  82  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  67  79  64  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Close