Sunrise, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

688
FXUS62 KMFL 221132
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
632 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 244 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

Model consensus keeps broad high pressure in place across the
region with relatively dry and cooler air persisting over SoFlo
today. Meanwhile, ensembles and global solutions depict a
trough/low complex moving away from the NE CONUS. Latest model
solutions keep gradually pushing the sfc high eastward and into
the west Atlantic waters. This synoptic setup will start gradually
veering winds to a more NE flow, which in turn will begin
moderating local temperatures, along with no significant rain
expected.

High temperatures this afternoon will warm up a few degrees,
reaching the mid 70s across much of SoFlo. But the more tangible
difference will be felt tonight when overnight lows should remain 8-10
degrees warmer than the previous night (staying in the upper 50s to mid
60s). This should preclude any issues regarding cold temperature impacts.
By Monday, the veering sfc winds will further push max temps into the
mid-upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 244 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

Long range models continue to push the broad sfc high pressure over
the E CONUS further east and away from the region through the middle
of the work week as a mid level trough moves into the central CONUS. An
associated sfc boundary will extend into the northern Gulf
waters. In response, sfc-850mb winds across SoFlo gradually shift
to the ENE. This will allow for temperatures to continue to
moderate with increasing daily highs back into the upper 70s and
near 80 across most areas. This synoptic setup will bring
increasing moisture with rain chances in the 20-30 percent
Wednesday through Friday. Forecast soundings do not depict
significant instability or deep moisture moving into the area,
with most showers expected to remain generally shallow. Therefore,
thunder chances will remain low and will be kept out of the
forecast for now.

High and low temps during the long term will be generally right around
normals with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and lows in the
50s/60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail for the period. Wind becoming NNE/NE
around 5-10 kt through the day today before lightening tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 244 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

Moderate northeasterly winds continues today while gradually
veering to the east-northeast through the middle of the work week.
Seas will be in the 4-6 feet range over the Atlantic waters,
along with an increase in winds. Gulf seas will reach 3-4 feet
through the first half of the work week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 244 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

The risk of rip currents will remain elevated across the Palm
Beaches through early in the work week due to lingering effects
from a northeasterly swell.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            75  63  77  66 /   0  10   0  10
West Kendall     76  59  79  62 /   0   0   0  10
Opa-Locka        76  62  79  65 /   0  10   0  10
Homestead        75  62  78  65 /   0  10   0  10
Fort Lauderdale  74  63  76  67 /   0  10   0  10
N Ft Lauderdale  75  63  76  67 /   0  10   0  10
Pembroke Pines   77  62  80  65 /   0  10   0  10
West Palm Beach  74  62  77  65 /  10  10  10  10
Boca Raton       75  62  78  66 /  10  10   0  10
Naples           72  57  77  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM....AR
AVIATION...RAG