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Brandon, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Brandon FL
National Weather Service Forecast for: Brandon FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL
Updated: 6:36 am EDT Jun 14, 2025
 
Today

Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 106. South southwest wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely

Tonight

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely then
Chance
Showers
Sunday

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely

Monday

Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Chance
Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. South southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Chance
Showers
Wednesday

Wednesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Hi 92 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 95 °F

 

Today
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 106. South southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 105. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. South southeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Juneteenth
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Brandon FL.

Weather Forecast Discussion
087
FXUS62 KTBW 141056
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
656 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
VFR conditions continue this morning and are expected outside of
convection later today. Best chances are for southwest Florida
sites and KLAL. Trickiest part of the forecast is for KTPA and
KPIE as the sea breeze looks to keep most of the storms just to
the east through the afternoon and evening before they eventually
come back toward the coast after 00Z. With this thinking in mind,
have opted to take out mention of storms for these two sites until
03Z. Of course, will amend later if necessary.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Upper level ridging and broad surface high pressure near Bermuda
ridges west-southwest over northern Florida through the weekend.
Similar to the past few days, a prevailing southeast wind flow will
remain over Florida with the exception of along the west coast where
the sea breeze will set up producing onshore winds each afternoon
and evening. Abundant moisture with PWAT values around 1.6-2.1
inches will support daily scattered showers and storms through the
weekend.

The upper ridge and surface high shifts slightly southward by Monday
morning, but prevailing winds will remain out of the south-southeast
through south-southwest for most of next week. Some slightly drier
air will also move into the region next week with PWAT values
dropping to around 1.4-1.8 inches. This may limit shower and storm
coverage a bit next week, but still enough moisture to support daily
scattered showers and isolated storms. Seasonal temperatures
expected with daytime highs in the upper 80`s along the coast and
low to mid 90`s over the interior and overnight lows in the 70`s.
Heat indices will reach 100-105 degrees each day.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

High pressure ridging across central Florida and into the eastern
gulf will produce a predominant southeast wind flow over the eastern
gulf waters through the weekend. A daily sea breeze can also be
expected turning winds onshore near the west coast each afternoon.
With this pattern, the highest rain and storm chances will be during
the afternoon and evening hours with storms moving from east to
west. Outside of thunderstorms, light winds 10 knots or less and
seas 2 feet or less can be expected through the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Abundant moisture and light winds will continue through the weekend
precluding any fire weather concerns. Daily afternoon and evening
showers and storms expected each day through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  79  92  79 /  70  50  70  60
FMY  93  75  93  76 /  70  40  70  50
GIF  93  75  93  75 /  70  30  70  30
SRQ  91  76  91  76 /  60  50  70  70
BKV  93  72  92  72 /  70  40  70  40
SPG  89  79  89  79 /  60  50  70  70

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 7
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Aviation...Carlisle
Previous...Wynn
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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