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Camp Connell, California 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 16 Miles NE Murphys CA
National Weather Service Forecast for: 16 Miles NE Murphys CA
Issued by: National Weather Service Sacramento, CA
Updated: 4:22 am PST Nov 9, 2024
 
Today

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Light and variable wind.
Mostly Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light east northeast wind.
Partly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 58. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind 3 to 5 mph.
Mostly Clear

Veterans
Day
Veterans Day: Showers, mainly after 10am.  High near 51. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Showers

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Rain showers before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers.  Low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Showers then
Chance
Rain/Snow
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 50.
Sunny

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Partly Cloudy

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Mostly Sunny

Hi 57 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 58 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 51 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 50 °F Lo 40 °F Hi 55 °F

 

Today
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Light and variable wind.
Tonight
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light east northeast wind.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 58. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind 3 to 5 mph.
Veterans Day
 
Showers, mainly after 10am. High near 51. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
 
Rain showers before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tuesday
 
Sunny, with a high near 50.
Tuesday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40.
Wednesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 49.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Friday
 
Rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 16 Miles NE Murphys CA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
798
FXUS66 KSTO 090945
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
145 AM PST Sat Nov 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Seasonable temperatures and mainly dry weather through Sunday. An
unsettled weather pattern is forecasted to start on Monday
bringing widespread rain, high-elevation snow, and chances for
thunderstorms. Unsettled weather is expected to continue next
week.

.DISCUSSION...
This weekend sees mostly dry, quiet weather, with seasonable
temperatures, but with partly cloudy to overcast skies. There`s an
outside chance for a few sprinkles overnight on Saturday and into
Sunday in the northern parts of the Sacramento Valley, though
little to no accumulations are expected from this.

Overnight Sunday and into Monday, a fast moving upper level
trough progresses into the area, bringing widespread chances for
precipitation, mountain snow, gusty onshore winds, and a slight
chance for Valley thunderstorms. Overall precipitation amounts
appear to remain similar to the last 24 hours, with NBM predicting
a 60 to 90% chance of 0.5 inches or more north of I-80 (30 to 60%
further south), and 50 to 80% probability of one inch or more in
the foothills and mountains. The majority of snow appears to
remain at higher elevations in the mountains, with NBM
probabilities of 60 to 80% for 2 inches or more above 6000 ft (30
to 60% probability for 4 inches or more at the same elevations).
Winds will be strongest in the Delta and over the mountains, with
southerly gusts in the Delta and Valley around 20 to 30 mph, and
more southwesterly gusts around 25 to 40 mph over the Sierra.
Finally, there is a 10 to 15% probability of isolated Valley
thunderstorms on Monday; these probabilities have trended down
since the afternoon forecast, though how chances evolve moving
forward will likely be dependent on the progression of the storm
system and how cloud cover interacts with any surface instability.

By Tuesday the aforementioned system exits interior NorCal,
leaving us with some lingering mountain rain and snow showers,
but primarily dry and cool conditions everywhere else. The exiting
trough leaves us with cooler than normal daytime highs, before a
new weather system arrives mid to late week.

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Wednesday THROUGH Saturday)...
While there is still uncertainty with regards to the intensity of
the mid to late week system, cluster analysis and ensembles have
come into much better agreement over the last 24 hours on the path
and general timing of the trough. Currently, ensembles seem to
agree on the upper level low digging down along the coast of
California on Thursday, before moving more inland on Friday and
into Saturday. There is more uncertainty at this point, whether
the system will be prolonged by a secondary low progressing
southward and joining the first, or if those will primarily be
distinct systems.

For the remainder of the current forecast period, the NBM is
showing the majority of precipitation occurring on Friday, with
an 30 to 60% probability of 0.5 inches or more across the area
between Friday morning and Saturday morning. Over the course of 72
hours between Thursday and Saturday morning, current NBM
predictions show a 45 to 80% probability of an inch or more north
of I-80, and 20 to 50% chance south of the interstate. Snow levels
will remain mostly above 6000 feet (though they will lower to
closer to 5000 feet towards the tail end of the system on
Saturday). Still, at elevations above 6000 ft, the NBM has a 50 to
70% chance of 4 inches or more on Friday alone. Over a 72 hour
period from Thursday to Saturday morning, there is a 40 to 65%
probability of 8 inches or more in the Sierra and southern
Cascades.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions prevail across interior Northern California over
the next 24 hours, with surface winds below 12 kts. Increasing mid
to high level clouds today with areas of BKN to OVC skies at
around 15 to 25 kft.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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