Hot Springs Village, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

757
FXUS64 KLZK 142315
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
615 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025

Another day with the H500 trough lingering across the region.
This will yield another period of largely diurnally driven showers
and thunderstorms across the state. Highest concentration of
activity appears to be across S/SE portions of the state. Will
need to monitor storms this afternoon for localized heavy rainfall
potential as well as microbursts once again.

Temperatures will warm up to near to slightly above normal values
across the area, but heat indices should largely remain below
heat advisory criteria. HREF probs indicate the highest chances
for heat indices of 105 or higher across far south-central AR.
Even there, probs top out at 30%. Elsewhere, chances of heat
indices at or above 105 remain below 10%.

Over the next couple of days, the H500 trough will finally shift
east and be absorbed into the mean flow. After this occurs, mid-
level ridging will build over the region in its wake. This will
provide a decrease in daily rain chances and an increase in
temperatures. Heat headlines may be required by this weekend.

The heat should persist through the middle of next week with some
potential for the ridge to shift westward and some mid-level NW
flow occurring by later next week. Will continue to monitor for
this possibility.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Thu Aug 14 2025

Scattered showers and storms will be possible through the evening
hours as the sun goes down. MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible
with storms. These rain chances will be highest across central and
southern Arkansas. Calm and dry conditions are expected overnight
with winds mainly light and variable. Otherwise VFR conditions are
expected through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     72  96  73  98 /  10  10  10  20
Camden AR         73  95  73  97 /  20  30  10  20
Harrison AR       71  94  72  94 /   0  10   0  20
Hot Springs AR    73  97  74  98 /  10  20  10  20
Little Rock   AR  75  96  76  96 /  20  20  10  20
Monticello AR     74  96  75  98 /  20  40  10  20
Mount Ida AR      72  95  73  96 /  10  20  10  20
Mountain Home AR  71  96  72  96 /   0  10   0  20
Newport AR        73  96  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     73  96  74  97 /  20  20  10  10
Russellville AR   75  98  76  99 /   0  10  10  20
Searcy AR         72  97  74  98 /   0  20  10  20
Stuttgart AR      74  95  75  97 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Friday for ARZ031>034-046-
047-057-064-065-069-121-122-130-138-230.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...73