Casas Adobes, Arizona 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

116
FXUS65 KTWC 220952
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
252 AM MST Sun Dec 22 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather with above normal temperatures will
persist through early this week. Near record high temperatures
will be possible today, tomorrow and Christmas Eve. A passing
weather disturbance will then cool afternoon temperatures
beginning Christmas Day.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Although upper heights are lowering, the low levels
remain rather warm with record or near record highs continuing
through Christmas Eve. Satellite imagery this morning showed
mostly clear conditions with a few wisps of cirrus passing through
under W/NW flow aloft. This will be changing later today as the
high level cloud cover over srn CA moves across the area.

An upper level trof moving thru the Great Basin and 4 corners area
on Christmas day will bring cooler temperatures to the area along
with a chance of snow showers to the White mountains. The Whites
will see another chance of snow showers late Thursday night into
Friday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 23/12Z.
SKC to FEW thin cirrus AOA 20k ft thru 22/20z then increasing
clouds AOA 18k ft thru the end of valid pd. SFC winds terrain
driven less than 10 kts thru 22/18z then again after 23/02z. At
other hours SFC winds W/NW less than 10 kts. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions with above normal temperatures
through the first half of this week. A passing disturbance in the
later in the week will bring cooler temperatures and a chance of
showers to the White Mountains Christmas Day and Friday. Minimum
relative humidity values 10 to 15 percent in the valleys into the
middle of this week, with 15 to 25 percent expected in the higher
terrain. 20-foot winds will mainly be less than 15 mph through
the this week.

&&

.CLIMATE...Record or near record high temperatures next 3 days

DATE                    Dec 22         Dec 23         Dec 24
                     FCST RCD/YR    FCST RCD/YR    FCST RCD/YR
Tucson Intl Airport   80  82/1917    77  80/2021    79  79/1936
Ajo                   78  80/2016    77  81/2005    79  82/1955
Kitt Peak             64  64/1962    61  65/2005    62  64/2005
Organ Pipe Cactus     80  82/1955    79  82/1950    79  82/1989
Picacho Peak          72  79/2005    72  78/2021    74  76/2005
Safford Ag Station    73  73/2021    74  72/2005    72  73/1955
Sierra Vista FD       77  75/2000    73  75/1917    73  74/1971
Tombstone             77  81/1950    72  77/1955    73  76/2021
Willcox               74  72/1955    72  73/2021    71  73/2021
Douglas               76  73/2018    74  76/1955    73  74/1989

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

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