Gulf Shores, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

189
FXUS64 KMOB 051756
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

 - A HIGH risk of rip currents continues through this afternoon
   for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The risk
   returns to HIGH by Wednesday.

 - Marine winds will reach advisory-level conditions tonight into
   early Monday for coastal Alabama, and persist through Monday
   night for the Gulf waters. Additional rounds rounds of
   advisory-level conditions with gusts near gale-force are likely
   this week as marine winds turn easterly.

 - Strong easterly winds with gusts near gale-force on Wednesday
   and Thursday will likely result in high surf advisory
   conditions with breaking waves of 5-8 feet and possible minor
   coastal inundation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Our long awaited front is arriving as rain has slowly moved into
our area from the west this evening and the front has made it to
central Mississippi. Overall, weak ascent will continue to
overspread our area over the next 6 to 10 hours as showers and the
occasional thunderstorm develops along and ahead of the
approaching boundary. A few isolated showers have developed well
out ahead of the main line this evening and while a few have show
some signs of very weak transient rotation these very mini
spinnies will likely struggle the remainder of the night. Taking a
quick gander at the KMOB vertical wind profile shows really poor
and weakening shear as we move further east coupled with paltry
instability. All that to say we are not expecting much from any of
these storms other than a quick shot of rain. The main line
should reach I-65 by around day break and then clear the coast by
early to mid-afternoon as it slows to a crawl offshore. The upper
trough pushing the front will quickly eject out leading to the
front likely stalling just off the coast Sunday into Monday. With
the front sitting just offshore, showers and a few storms may
encroach upon the immediate coastline through midweek as a series
of weak shortwaves progress across the mostly westerly flow aloft.
The strongest of these waves will arrive on Wednesday into
Thursday brining the chance for some light overrunning rain to the
area. However, moisture quality will likely be limited and the
best chance for any appreciable rain will likely be along the
immediate coastline. High Pressure will then build into the area
by the weekend leading to dry conditions as temperatures slowly
warm.

Beach Hazards... A HIGH risk of rip currents will likely through
today as a moderate onshore flow should persist. While the winds
will not be strong, there should be enough of a fetch and
increasingly strong tides falling during the afternoons to result
in likely hazardous swimming conditions and rip currents. Be sure
to continue to swim near lifeguards. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Lingering showers southeast of I-65 will move east out of the area
by this evening. MVFR conditions currently prevail over our entire
area, and a gradual improvement to VFR will occur from northwest
to southeast this afternoon and evening behind a cold front
slipping through the region. Winds will turn northerly around 10
knots in the wake of the front and continue through noon Monday,
with occasional gusts to near 20 knots possible. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Winds quickly turn northerly overnight behind a approaching cold
front. A moderate to strong offshore flow develops through Monday
before winds turn easterly by Tuesday afternoon. These moderate to
strong easterly winds will persist through the end of the week.
Expect a few rounds of small craft advisory-level conditions
throughout the week and the potential gusts nearing gale force by
midweek. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  52  68  50 /  90  20  10   0
Pensacola   76  55  68  55 /  90  30  10  10
Destin      75  56  69  56 /  80  40  20  10
Evergreen   73  47  70  46 /  90  10   0   0
Waynesboro  71  49  68  47 /  60   0   0   0
Camden      70  48  68  46 /  90   0   0   0
Crestview   78  51  70  48 /  90  30  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Monday
     for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Monday
     for GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM CDT Monday
     for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$