Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
503 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026
Day 2
Valid 12Z Thu Oct 08 2026 - 12Z Fri Oct 09 2026

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR MUCH OF
FLORIDA...

A stationary front draped across north Florida to start the day on
Thursday will begin to retreat northwestward into the Southeast
through Thursday night. Increasing southeasterly flow ahead of the
circulation of T.S. Isaias will overcome any reinforcement of the
drier air to the north, allowing the front to begin moving.
Tropical air to the south of the front running into it will allow
for the continuation of light to moderate rain across much of the
Florida Peninsula. As on previous days, and with increasing
moisture advection, localized convection and still generally slow
storm movements will make for an isolated flash flooding threat.
Late Thursday night, the outermost rain bands associated with T.D.
9 will begin to sweep northwestward across the Apalachicola area,
which could lead to an isolated flash flooding threat.

Wegman


Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt