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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 160454

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1154 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level low sliding southward from the Pacific Northwest will
   stall over northern California this afternoon, increasing deep-layer
   southwesterly flow across the Great Basin. Hot and dry conditions
   will continue across Texas and Oklahoma as high pressure expands
   into the central U.S., though much lighter winds will limit broader
   fire weather concerns.

   ...Central Nevada...
   Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon where
   dry and breezy south-southwesterly winds of 15-20 mph amid minimum
   RH values of 10-15% overlap drying fuels. RH may decline to less
   than 10% in some valleys, but marginal fuel receptiveness will mute
   a more significant fire weather concern across the area.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/16/2026
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 160455

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Expanding high pressure over the Southeast and central U.S will
   contribute to widespread above normal temperatures and dry
   conditions on Day 2/Thursday. Meanwhile, a mid-level low will remain
   centered over northern California/southern Oregon, maintaining
   strong southwesterly flow over the Great Basin. Consecutive days of
   dry and windy conditions have led to drying fuels across central
   Nevada, increasing fire concerns. Sufficient daytime mixing will
   promote south-southwesterly sustained winds of 15-20 mph and RH
   values of less than 15%, supporting the introduction of Elevated
   highlights across the region.

   ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/16/2026


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 152127

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0427 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026

   Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   An upper-low over northern CA and attendant mid-level jet over the
   Great Basin will sustain fire weather concerns across portions of NV
   for D3/Thursday. Higher-based showers and thunderstorms are expected
   over portions of northern CA and OR D3/Thursday, and the northern
   Rockies on D4/Friday as the low pivots northeastward, but marginal
   fuels should suppress new ignitions across this region. Additional
   showers and thunderstorms amid deeper atmospheric moisture across
   the Southwest are forecast across the Four Corners region into the
   central Rockies, further quelling fire weather concerns through the
   weekend across much of the Intermountain West. 

   Anomalously strong upper ridging across the southeastern U.S. will
   keep above normal temperatures and mainly dry conditions over the
   Southern Plains and Lower MS River Valley through at least
   D5/Saturday. This should keep quite receptive fuels in place
   although alignment of winds and sufficiently low daytime RH should
   limit a broader fire weather threat across this region. A cold front
   and associated much needed rainfall should push into the
   central/southern Plains early next week temporarily reducing overall
   fire weather threat for Days 5-8/Sunday-Tuesday.

   ...Day 3/Thursday - Central Nevada...
   A ~50 knot mid-level jet pivots into the Great Basin as an upper low
   meanders over northern CA on D3/Thursday. A corridor of dry
   southwesterly flow with wind speeds of up to 20 mph and RH around
   15% will yield a fire weather threat across portions of central NV
   where 40% critical probabilities were maintained.

   ..Williams.. 09/15/2026
      




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