Vienna, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

358
FXUS61 KRLX 230630
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
130 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm front brings light rain early this morning with brief
freezing rain in the northern mountains. Mild with additional
rain at times Christmas through the weekend as a front wavers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 130 AM Tuesday...

Temperatures were holding just below freezing along the higher
ridges and east to southeast facing slopes of the northern
mountains early this morning, where Winter Weather Advisories
for freezing rain remain in effect.

Freezing rain amounts are still generally around a light glaze
to a few hundredths of an inch for most in the advisory area,
but a few locations above 3,500 feet may see ice accretions
between 0.05 and 0.10 inch.

Gusty south to southeast wind accompanied the arrival of the
rain at EKN, and the temperature soared well above freezing
there, the rain reversing a brief dew point drop there with the
downsloping wind.

A warm front bringing areas of light rain to the area early
this morning will some progress into the area today, before
being intercepted by a cold front tonight. Gusty southwest
winds will become more prevalent across the area early this
morning and persist through much of the day today, depending
upon the progress of the warm front, before diminishing late
today and tonight.

The rain will become increasingly spotty and confined to areas
in and just west of the mountains late this morning and this
afternoon. With little mid/upper-level forcing in play once the
warm advection/isentropic lift of this morning area gone, it may
end up being more drizzly in nature this afternoon under a low
overcast. The cold front will bring an end to any lingering
light rain or drizzle as it crosses most of the area from
northwest to southeast tonight.

Temperatures will be lowest to the northeast ahead of the warm
front today, but still above normal throughout the area, and
then lowest to the northwest behind the cold front tonight,
straddling normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM Monday...

Key Point:
* Santa brings us a warm and wet Christmas this year.

After what should be a relative mild and dry day on Wednesday,
the fast west-northwest flow aloft brings another shortwave
through to our north on Christmas Day. This will provide another
shot of rain Wednesday night into Christmas Day. In fact, we
could see enough instability for a rumble of thunder or two as
locations along and south of I-64 warm above 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 200 PM Monday...

Key Point:
* Remaining mild and active late week into the weekend.

The flow aloft remains largely zonal through Saturday before
buckling as a trough digs back into the eastern U.S. Sunday
into early next week. This should keep us mild and unsettled
Friday through most of the weekend before at least some
semblance of winter returns early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 130 AM Tuesday...

Rain at times associated with a warm front will lower visibility
to MVFR at times early this morning, even down to IFR at BKW
around dawn.

There will be a brief window of freezing rain/drizzle across
the northern mountains through about 12Z where light ice
accretion is possible, but this will be east of EKN and
northeast of BKW. A changeover to all rain is expected by about
12Z as temperatures rise above freezing there.

Meanwhile, ceilings will lower to MVFR in general early this
morning, and then remain so the balance of the TAF period,
through 06Z Wednesday, even as rain ends later this morning.
Ceilings will lower to IFR at BKW and perhaps CKB and EKN while
getting close, low MVFR, at the other sites, later this
afternoon.

Low level wind shear is possible early this morning between 1
and 2 kft AGL, before momentum aloft mixes to the surface, with
light southeast surface flow becoming southwest and gusty, to
20 to 25 kts. Locally higher gusts are possible across the
higher ridges of the northern mountains. These gusty southwest
winds will diminish late today and tonight, while veering to the
west to northwest as a cold front crosses. Moderate to strong
west flow aloft early this morning will become moderate to
strong west to northwest later today.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium to high.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of precipitation, gusty winds, and
lower ceilings may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                  TUE 12/23/25
UTC 1HRLY       03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14
EST 1HRLY       22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M

AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR possible in low ceilings Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning, and then again Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for WVZ523-524-
     526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ABE/TRM
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...ABE
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...TRM