Morgantown, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

940
FXUS61 KPBZ 100855
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
455 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide quiet weather with lower humidity
through Thursday, though a few isolated showers are possible
across the ridges today. Rain chances return Friday and on into
the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Lingering showers will exit through dawn.
- Patchy morning fog possible.
---------------------------------------------------------------

As clearing from the west commences, patchy fog will be
possible with lingering surface moisture. Morning lows will fall
into the mid-50s to low-60s.

High pressure will begin to build today as broad upper
troughing crosses from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Cold
advection and northwest flow aloft will keep afternoon
temperatures a few degrees cooler, but still in the 70s for
most. Plentiful sunshine is expected through fair weather Cu.

Lingering moisture across the ridges and some orographic lift
may allow a few showers and thunderstorms to develop there with
afternoon heating. Maintained Chance/Slight Chance PoPs for
this. Overnight temperatures will fall back into the 50s (near
normal) under mostly clear skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Dry and less humid weather with a warming trend
----------------------------------------------------------------

Dry weather continues Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure
builds under northwest flow aloft. Low-level winds will become
more southwesterly as the sfc high becomes centered over the
Ohio Valley. This will aid warm advection, and with sunny skies,
will drive afternoon highs back into the lower 80s on Wednesday
and . However, lower humidity (dews in the 50s to near 60F)
will make for warm, but pleasant weather. By Thursday, highs
will push into the mid-80s for many as dew points push into the
60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Rain chance returns Friday through Monday
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Westerly flow with heights in the middle 580s is expected
through the long term. Confluent flow pattern aloft northeast
of the central US trough should keep high pressure over the
Great Lakes area and set up a slow moving west-east frontal zone
in the Ohio Valley which will gradually allow for moisture
pooling and destabilization during the period. Flow does weaken
and vertical wind shear would support weakly organized
convection during the period, so overall organized severe threat
appears limited. With weaker wind fields the focus would shift
to slow moving and locally heavy pulse to multi-cell storms that
are mainly diurnally driven.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Expect showers and thunderstorms to continue through the
overnight across northern WV and some of the southwestern PA
counties. This will mainly impact the MGW, LBE, and DUJ
terminals and will keep VCTS in the TAFs for these locations.
Some of the other terminals will see some MVFR and IFR cigs and
vis through dawn due to fog and stratus. This is expected to
improve by 14Z to 16Z tomorrow.

Expect mid and upper level clouds in place tomorrow. Winds will
be light and variable to begin with but will begin to gust from
the west up to 20 knots in some of the terminals.

Outlook...
High pressure and weak flow aloft is favored to maintain VFR
and dry weather through the bulk of the day Thursday.

Weak disturbances within the upper flow may bring increased
precipitation chances Friday into the weekend.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Rackley
NEAR TERM...Rackley
SHORT TERM...Rackley
LONG TERM...Craven/Rackley
AVIATION...Shallenberger